NHL Final Intelligence
San Jose Sharks 6, Ottawa Senators 2 — Recap
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Game Recap
San Jose, Calif. (AP) — The San Jose Sharks defeated the Ottawa Senators 6-2 on Wednesday, overcoming a significant 42-28 shot disadvantage. SportsFBI's pregame model, which had leaned toward Ottawa with a 55% probability, missed its mark as the Sharks' offense capitalized efficiently. The first period saw Ottawa take an early lead when Tim Stützle scored, assisted by Drake Batherson and Warren Foegele, at 6:16. San Jose responded later in the period, with Nolan Allan equalizing at 11:04, assisted by Dmitry Orlov.
The Sharks broke the game open in the second period with three unanswered goals. Tyler Toffoli put San Jose ahead 2-1 at 9:13, assisted by Kiefer Sherwood and Jacob Trouba. Collin Graf then extended the lead to 3-1 at 12:00, with assists from Ty Dellandrea and Sam Dickinson. Just over a minute later, Trouba contributed his own goal, assisted by Graf and Darnell Nurse, pushing the score to 4-1. Trouba (1 G, 1 A), Graf (1 G, 1 A), and Sherwood (2 A) were key offensive contributors for San Jose in this decisive period, alongside Toffoli's opening goal.
Ottawa attempted to narrow the gap in the third period when Jordan Spence scored at 6:24, assisted by Fabian Zetterlund and Nikolas Matinpalo, making it 4-2. However, San Jose solidified its lead late in the game with Zack Ostapchuk scoring at 16:31, assisted by Barclay Goodrow, and Ivar Stenberg adding a final goal at 19:43, with assists from Kiefer Sherwood and Michael Misa. Sharks goaltender Yaroslav Askarov was instrumental in the victory, stopping 40 of 42 shots, while Ottawa's Samuel Ersson made 22 saves on 26 shots. Following the contest, Ottawa's record stands at 7-3-0, and San Jose's is 5-4-1.
How the Prediction Fared
Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the Ottawa Senators (-135, 57% implied) over the San Jose Sharks. The underdog won.
SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the Ottawa Senators (55% confidence). It gave a 32% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 4 goals.
💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line
Standouts
Every skater's and goalie's line is in the box score below.
📊 Game Flow
- P1 6:16 Tim Stützle (Drake Batherson, Warren Foegele) OTT · Power play · wrist shot · SJS 0, OTT 1
- P1 11:04 Nolan Allan (Dmitry Orlov) SJS · snap shot · SJS 1, OTT 1
- P2 9:13 Tyler Toffoli (Kiefer Sherwood, Jacob Trouba) SJS · Power play · wrist shot · SJS 2, OTT 1
- P2 12:00 Collin Graf (Ty Dellandrea, Sam Dickinson) SJS · Shorthanded · wrist shot · SJS 3, OTT 1
- P2 13:18 Jacob Trouba (Collin Graf, Darnell Nurse) SJS · snap shot · SJS 4, OTT 1
- P3 6:24 Jordan Spence (Fabian Zetterlund, Nikolas Matinpalo) OTT · wrist shot · SJS 4, OTT 2
- P3 16:31 Zack Ostapchuk (Barclay Goodrow) SJS · Empty net · snap shot · SJS 5, OTT 2
- P3 19:43 Ivar Stenberg (Kiefer Sherwood, Michael Misa) SJS · Empty net · wrist shot · SJS 6, OTT 2
Biggest Period
The San Jose Sharks scored 3 goals in P2 — the biggest single period of the game.
📋 Team Stats
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 11 | 11 | 6 | 28 |
| OTT | 8 | 18 | 17 | 43 |
🎯 Shot Map
- 6Goals14% of attempts
- 22Saved50% of attempts
- 16Missed the net36% of attempts
- 2Goals3% of attempts
- 41Saved59% of attempts
- 26Missed the net38% of attempts
● goal (large) · ● saved · ✕ missed the net; blocked shots are not located. Each team attacks to the right.
🏒 Box Score
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Trouba | D | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:47 |
| Collin Graf | R | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19:32 |
| Kiefer Sherwood | L | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 18:39 |
| Nolan Allan | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16:34 |
| Ivar Stenberg | L | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:58 |
| Tyler Toffoli | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:06 |
| Zack Ostapchuk | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:00 |
| Darnell Nurse | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 21:52 |
| Sam Dickinson | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19:47 |
| Dmitry Orlov | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 16:51 |
| Ty Dellandrea | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 15:26 |
| Michael Misa | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:21 |
| Barclay Goodrow | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13:41 |
| Macklin Celebrini | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 23:11 |
| Michael Kesselring | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:12 |
| Will Smith | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16:54 |
| Mason Marchment | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:15 |
| Igor Chernyshov | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 04:54 |
| Player | Dec | SV | SA | SV% | GA | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaroslav Askarov | W | 41 | 43 | 95.3 | 2 | 60:00 |
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Stützle | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 22:54 |
| Jordan Spence | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:34 |
| Drake Batherson | R | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18:14 |
| Nikolas Matinpalo | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:53 |
| Fabian Zetterlund | L | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 15:53 |
| Warren Foegele | L | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12:48 |
| Jake Sanderson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 26:09 |
| Shane Pinto | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 20:17 |
| Ridly Greig | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19:07 |
| Claude Giroux | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18:44 |
| Artem Zub | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:11 |
| Carter Yakemchuk | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17:53 |
| Dylan Cozens | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17:17 |
| Tyler Kleven | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17:02 |
| Stephen Halliday | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:20 |
| Michael Amadio | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13:55 |
| Nick Cousins | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 09:15 |
| Hayden Hodgson | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 03:03 |
| Player | Dec | SV | SA | SV% | GA | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Ersson | L | 22 | 26 | 84.6 | 4 | 56:06 |
🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines
| Player | Prop | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiefer Sherwood SJS | Points | 0.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 3 | Over | |
| Jacob Trouba SJS | Points | 0.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 1 | Under | |
| Tyler Toffoli SJS | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 1 | Under | |
| Ivar Stenberg SJS | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 1 | Under | |
| Drake Batherson OTT | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 3 | Over | |
| Darnell Nurse SJS | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 0 | Under |
The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.
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