NHL Final Intelligence

TBL 8-3-1
4 – 5
FINAL/SO
NSH 4-4-5

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Nashville Predators β€” Recap

October 31, 2026  Β· Bridgestone Arena  Β· View Preview

πŸ“°Game Recap

Nashville defeated Tampa Bay 5-4 in a shootout after a back-and-forth contest where the Predators erased three one-goal deficits. The Predators outshot the Lightning 33-26, maintaining offensive pressure throughout the game. SportsFBI's model, which had leaned toward a Tampa Bay victory at 70%, did not reflect the final outcome.

The scoring began in the first period when Reid Schaefer, assisted by Alexander Kerfoot and Nick Perbix, gave Nashville a 1-0 lead at 11:14. John Carlson, with assists from Nikita Kucherov and Charle-Edouard D'Astous, responded for Tampa Bay at 13:38 to tie the game at 1-1. The second period saw a flurry of goals. Jake Guentzel put Tampa Bay ahead 2-1 just 18 seconds in, assisted by John Carlson and Nikita Kucherov. Adam Edstrom quickly tied it for Nashville 27 seconds later at 0:45, with assists from Brady Skjei and Nick Perbix. Victor Hedman regained the lead for Tampa Bay at 3:23, assisted by Nikita Kucherov and Brayden Point. Jayden Struble leveled the score again at 19:42 for Nashville, with Adam Wilsby and Filip Forsberg assisting, making it 3-3 heading into the third. Conor Geekie put Tampa Bay in front for the final time in regulation at 3:31 of the third period, assisted by Jeffrey Viel. Steven Stamkos, assisted by Filip Forsberg and Ryan O'Reilly, tied the game at 4-4 at 7:27, setting the stage for overtime.

Neither team scored in the overtime period despite the continued offensive exchanges. The Predators ultimately secured the win in the shootout. Andrei Vasilevskiy made 29 saves on 33 shots for Tampa Bay, while Justus Annunen stopped 22 of 26 shots for Nashville. Nikita Kucherov led all scorers with three assists for Tampa Bay, while John Carlson contributed a goal and an assist. For Nashville, Filip Forsberg recorded two assists, and Nick Perbix also had two assists. Nashville's record now stands at 4-4-5, and Tampa Bay's record is 8-3-1.

#NashvillePredators #TampaBayLightning #NHLRecap #HockeyGame #ShootoutWin

How the Prediction Fared

⚑ Upset

Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the Tampa Bay Lightning (-180, 64% implied) over the Nashville Predators. The underdog won.

⚑ Model Missed

SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the Tampa Bay Lightning (70% confidence). It gave a 38% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 1 goal.

Standouts

Top Scorer Β· TBL
0 G, 3 A, 3 PTS, 1 SOG Β· 23:41 TOI
Goals Β· TBL
1 G, 1 A, 2 PTS, 5 SOG Β· 19:11 TOI

Full box score, every player's line and the scoring plays are available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

Linescore

123OT SO T
TBL 1210 0 4
NSH 1210 1 5

Shots on goal: TBL 26, NSH 33 Β· The shootout winner is credited with one goal in the final score.

πŸ” Key Suspects Results

8 of 14 graded picks hit. Pushes and voided picks are not counted.

TBL — Away
John Carlson D Assists Β· BetMGM 0.5 UNDER MISS Actual 1
Anthony Cirelli C Shots on Goal Β· BetMGM 1.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Nikita Kucherov RW Assists Β· BetMGM 0.5 UNDER MISS Actual 3
Charle-Edouard D'Astous D Points Β· DraftKings 0.5 UNDER MISS Actual 1
Brandon Hagel LW Shots on Goal Β· FanDuel 5+ MILESTONE MISS Actual 3
Brayden Point C Goals Β· FanDuel 0.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Pontus Holmberg RW Shots on Goal Β· DraftKings 3+ MILESTONE MISS Actual 1
NSH — Home
Roman Josi D Assists Β· DraftKings 0.5 OVER MISS Actual 0
Ryan O'Reilly C Points Β· DraftKings 0.5 OVER HIT Actual 1
Filip Forsberg LW Shots on Goal Β· DraftKings 2.5 UNDER HIT Actual 2
Steven Stamkos C Goals Β· FanDuel 0.5 OVER HIT Actual 1
Mavrik Bourque C Points Β· DraftKings 0.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Matthew Wood RW Points Β· BetMGM 0.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Jonathan Marchessault C Points Β· DraftKings 0.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0

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