NHL Final Intelligence
Vegas Golden Knights vs Minnesota Wild β Recap
October 12, 2026 Β· Grand Casino Arena Β· View Preview
Game Recap
The Minnesota Wild established an early lead with three unanswered goals in the first period against the Vegas Golden Knights. Matt Boldy opened the scoring at 11:50, followed by Maxim Shabanov at 14:32. Quinn Hughes assisted on both of those goals, while Danila Yurov further extended Minnesota's lead to 3-0 at 16:57. SportsFBI's model had leaned toward a Minnesota victory with a 52% probability, a prediction that began to materialize during the dominant opening frame.
The Golden Knights mounted a comeback, finding their first goal in the second period when Rasmus Andersson scored at 2:37, assisted by Tomas Hertl and Raphael Lavoie, narrowing the deficit to 3-1. Vegas continued to press in the third period, with William Karlsson making it a one-goal game at 9:25, assisted by Brett Howden and Mitch Marner. Carter Hart made 24 saves on 27 shots for Vegas, while Jesper Wallstedt stopped 21 of 23 shots for Minnesota, maintaining their lead through the rally.
Minnesota ultimately secured the victory late in the third period when Joel Eriksson Ek scored at 18:38, assisted by Kirill Kaprizov, bringing the final score to 4-2. The Wild outshot the Golden Knights 28-23 overall. Quinn Hughes finished the night with two assists, contributing significantly to Minnesota's strong start, while William Karlsson and Rasmus Andersson each recorded a goal for Vegas. Minnesota's record now stands at 3-1-1, and Vegas's record is 5-1-0.
How the Prediction Fared
Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the Minnesota Wild (-112, 53% implied) over the Vegas Golden Knights.
SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the Minnesota Wild (52% confidence). It gave a 30% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 2 goals.
Standouts
Full box score, every player's line and the scoring plays are available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.
Biggest Period
The Minnesota Wild scored 3 goals in P1 β the biggest single period of the game.
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