โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

ARI vs
MIA

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins

June 11, 2026 ยท 1:10 PM ET ยท loanDepot park
ARI 86-76  ยท  MIA 80-82

๐Ÿ Final: ARI 0, MIA 2 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Miami Marlins
Confidence 59%
Projected Score MIA 2 ยท ARI 1
Blowout Probability 6%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

MIA Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Key injuries MIA (Jakob Marsee) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Key injuries ARI (Corbin Burnes, Gabriel Moreno) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA SP quality edge (FIP 3.81 vs 5.39) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Defensive edge (dWAR 5.3) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Recent run diff (+3.8 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

ARI โ€” Away RHP
Merrill Kelly
Merrill Kelly
ERA4.94
WHIP1.46
FIP5.25
K/96.3
K/BB2.4
Road ERA: 4.47
vs
MIA โ€” Home RHP
Tyler Phillips
Tyler Phillips
ERA3.34
WHIP1.33
FIP4.58
K/97.2
K/BB3.2
Home ERA: 3.28

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

ARI โ€” Away
  1. 1 Ketel Marte 2B
  2. 2 Corbin Carroll RF
  3. 3 Gabriel Moreno DH
  4. 4 Nolan Arenado 3B
  5. 5 Geraldo Perdomo SS
  6. 6 LuJames Groover 1B
  7. 7 Tommy Troy LF
  8. 8 Aramis Garcia C
  9. 9 Jorge Barrosa CF
MIA โ€” Home
  1. 1 Liam Hicks DH
  2. 2 Otto Lopez SS
  3. 3 Kyle Stowers 1B
  4. 4 Xavier Edwards 2B
  5. 5 Javier Sanoja 3B
  6. 6 Owen Caissie RF
  7. 7 Jakob Marsee CF
  8. 8 Joe Mack C
  9. 9 Esteury Ruiz LF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

ARI Away MIA Home
Team OPS 0.719 0.743
Bullpen FIP 3.95 3.97
Run Diff / 10G -3.1 +0.7
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -2 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
ARI +1.5 (+413)
MIA -1.5 (-670)
Total (O/U)
Over 2.5 (+405)
Under 2.5 (-650)
Moneyline
ARI +1240
MIA -9400

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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