โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

ARI vs
STL

Arizona Diamondbacks vs St. Louis Cardinals

June 23, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM ET ยท Busch Stadium
ARI 86-76  ยท  STL 77-85

๐Ÿ Final: ARI 4, STL 3 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† St. Louis Cardinals
Confidence 52%
Projected Score STL 5 ยท ARI 3
Blowout Probability 3%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

STL Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Key injuries ARI (Corbin Burnes, Gabriel Moreno) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL SP quality edge (FIP 3.44 vs 4.54) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL ARI SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Defensive edge (dWAR 4.0) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Recent run diff (+0.4 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI SP road mastery (ERA 2.23 R vs 3.25 H) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Line move (40pp sharp) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

ARI โ€” Away LHP
Eduardo Rodriguez
Eduardo Rodriguez
ERA2.89
WHIP1.24
FIP3.88
K/96.8
K/BB3.9
Road ERA: 2.23
vs
STL โ€” Home RHP
Kyle Leahy
Kyle Leahy
ERA3.66
WHIP1.34
FIP3.49
K/98.5
K/BB5.9
Home ERA: 3.44

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

ARI โ€” Away
  1. 1 Ketel Marte 2B
  2. 2 Geraldo Perdomo SS
  3. 3 Corbin Carroll RF
  4. 4 Gabriel Moreno C
  5. 5 Pavin Smith 1B
  6. 6 Nolan Arenado 3B
  7. 7 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF
  8. 8 LuJames Groover DH
  9. 9 Tommy Troy CF
STL โ€” Home
  1. 1 JJ Wetherholt SS
  2. 2 Ivan Herrera DH
  3. 3 Jordan Walker RF
  4. 4 Lars Nootbaar CF
  5. 5 Nelson Velazquez LF
  6. 6 Jose Fermin 2B
  7. 6 Masyn Winn SS
  8. 7 Alec Burleson 1B
  9. 8 Blaze Jordan 3B
  10. 9 Pedro Pages C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

ARI Away STL Home
Team OPS 0.693 0.697
Bullpen FIP 3.95 3.97
Run Diff / 10G -0.2 -0.6
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -2 -4

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
ARI -1.5 (-567)
STL +1.5 (+367)
Total (O/U)
Over 7.5 (+548)
Under 7.5 (-1020)
Moneyline
ARI -1480
STL +680

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

ARI โ€” Away
Gabriel Moreno Gabriel Moreno C
Hits
1.5
77 ยท OVER
Nolan Arenado Nolan Arenado 3B
Hits
1.5
77 ยท UNDER
Ketel Marte Ketel Marte 2B
Hits
1.5
76 ยท UNDER
Corbin Carroll Corbin Carroll RF
Hits
1.5
66 ยท UNDER
STL โ€” Home
Alec Burleson Alec Burleson 1B
Hits
1.5
69 ยท UNDER
JJ Wetherholt JJ Wetherholt SS
Hits
1.5
67 ยท UNDER
Ivan Herrera Ivan Herrera DH
Hits
1.5
64 ยท UNDER
Jose Fermin Jose Fermin 2B
Hits
1.5
62 ยท UNDER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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