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MLB Matchup Intelligence

ARI vs
WSH

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Washington Nationals

July 26, 2026 ยท 1:35 PM ET ยท Nationals Park
ARI 78-69  ยท  WSH 67-81

๐Ÿ Final: ARI 7, WSH 10 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Arizona Diamondbacks
Confidence 65%
Projected Score ARI 10 ยท WSH 8
Blowout Probability 10%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

WSH Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Defensive edge (dWAR 3.5) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI WSH SP road-favored (pitching at home) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

ARI โ€” Away LHP
Kohl Drake
Kohl Drake
ERA6.53
WHIP1.50
FIP5.67
K/97.6
K/BB4.5
vs
WSH โ€” Home RHP
Miles Mikolas
Miles Mikolas
ERA5.82
WHIP1.38
FIP5.72
K/94.5
K/BB2.7
Home ERA: 10.14

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

ARI โ€” Away
  1. 1 Corbin Carroll RF
  2. 2 Geraldo Perdomo SS
  3. 3 Gabriel Moreno C
  4. 4 Ketel Marte 2B
  5. 5 Max Kepler LF
  6. 6 Nolan Arenado 3B
  7. 7 Adrian Del Castillo DH
  8. 8 Tyler Locklear 1B
  9. 9 Tim Tawa CF
WSH โ€” Home
  1. 1 James Wood RF
  2. 2 Andres Chaparro DH
  3. 3 Dylan Crews LF
  4. 4 CJ Abrams SS
  5. 5 Brady House 3B
  6. 6 Jacob Young CF
  7. 7 Harry Ford C
  8. 8 Luis Garcia Jr. 1B
  9. 9 Nasim Nunez 2B

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

ARI Away WSH Home
Team OPS 0.722 0.753
Bullpen FIP 3.95 5.76
Run Diff / 10G +1.5 +1.6
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
ARI +2.5 (+235)
WSH -2.5 (-327)
Total (O/U)
Over 17.5 (+234)
Under 17.5 (-325)
Moneyline
ARI +940
WSH -3100

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

ARI โ€” Away
Tim Tawa Tim Tawa CF
Singles
74 ยท OVER
Geraldo Perdomo Geraldo Perdomo SS
Singles
72 ยท OVER
Gabriel Moreno Gabriel Moreno C
Singles
65 ยท OVER
Nolan Arenado Nolan Arenado 3B
Singles
63 ยท OVER
WSH โ€” Home
Luis Garcia Jr. Luis Garcia Jr. 1B
Singles
74 ยท OVER
James Wood James Wood RF
Singles
66 ยท OVER
Jacob Young Jacob Young CF
Singles
63 ยท OVER
Brady House Brady House 3B
Singles
61 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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