โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

BAL vs
BOS

Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox

June 4, 2026 ยท 1:35 PM ET ยท Fenway Park
BAL 79-82  ยท  BOS 87-75

๐Ÿ Final: BAL 8, BOS 2 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Boston Red Sox
Confidence 60%
Projected Score BOS 7 ยท BAL 5
Blowout Probability 6%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

BOS Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Key injuries BOS (Mickey Gasper, Roman Anthony) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Key injuries BAL (Samuel Basallo) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL SP quality edge (FIP 5.10 vs 6.42, PF 1.07) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Defensive edge (dWAR 7.0) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS SP home venue edge (ERA 6.40 H vs 8.18 A) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

BAL โ€” Away LHP
Trevor Rogers
Trevor Rogers
ERA4.03
WHIP1.19
FIP3.40
K/98.4
K/BB6.3
Road ERA: 4.46
vs
BOS โ€” Home RHP
Brayan Bello
Brayan Bello
ERA4.33
WHIP1.37
FIP3.79
K/97.1
K/BB4.3
Home ERA: 6.40

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

BAL โ€” Away
  1. 1 Taylor Ward LF
  2. 2 Gunnar Henderson SS
  3. 3 Adley Rutschman DH
  4. 4 Pete Alonso 1B
  5. 5 Samuel Basallo C
  6. 6 Leody Taveras CF
  7. 7 Colton Cowser RF
  8. 8 Coby Mayo 3B
  9. 9 Jackson Holliday 2B
BOS โ€” Home
  1. 1 Jarren Duran LF
  2. 2 Ceddanne Rafaela CF
  3. 3 Wilyer Abreu RF
  4. 4 Willson Contreras 1B
  5. 5 Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS
  6. 6 Andruw Monasterio 2B
  7. 7 Caleb Durbin 3B
  8. 8 Carlos Narvaez C
  9. 9 Connor Wong DH

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

BAL Away BOS Home
Team OPS 0.714 0.688
Bullpen FIP 3.94 3.55
Run Diff / 10G +1.1 +1.3
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 -3

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
BAL -6.5 (+102)
BOS +6.5 (-132)
Total (O/U)
Over 11.5 (+103)
Under 11.5 (-134)
Moneyline
BAL -7400
BOS +1180

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

BAL โ€” Away
Trevor Rogers Trevor Rogers SP
Outs
15.5
62 ยท OVER
BOS โ€” Home

No data yet.

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