โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

BOS vs
NYY

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees

June 5, 2026 ยท 7:05 PM ET ยท Yankee Stadium
BOS 87-75  ยท  NYY 93-68

๐Ÿ Final: BOS 5, NYY 3 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Boston Red Sox
Confidence 58%
Projected Score BOS 5 ยท NYY 4
Blowout Probability 5%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

NYY Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Key injuries BOS (Mickey Gasper, Roman Anthony) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS SP quality edge (FIP 2.94 vs 4.02, PF 1.06) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Defensive edge (dWAR 6.7) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Recent run diff (+1.9 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Line move (45pp sharp) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

BOS โ€” Away RHP
Sonny Gray
Sonny Gray
ERA2.72
WHIP1.15
FIP3.38
K/97.9
K/BB5.5
Road ERA: 2.35
vs
NYY โ€” Home LHP
Ryan Weathers
Ryan Weathers
ERA3.60
WHIP1.22
FIP3.55
K/99.4
K/BB6.9
Home ERA: 3.79

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

BOS โ€” Away
  1. 1 Jarren Duran LF
  2. 2 Ceddanne Rafaela CF
  3. 3 Wilyer Abreu RF
  4. 4 Willson Contreras 1B
  5. 5 Caleb Durbin 3B
  6. 6 Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS
  7. 7 Andruw Monasterio 2B
  8. 8 Mickey Gasper DH
  9. 9 Connor Wong C
NYY โ€” Home
  1. 1 Trent Grisham CF
  2. 2 Ben Rice DH
  3. 3 Paul Goldschmidt 1B
  4. 4 Cody Bellinger LF
  5. 5 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
  6. 6 Spencer Jones RF
  7. 7 Anthony Volpe SS
  8. 8 Ryan McMahon 3B
  9. 9 Austin Wells C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

BOS Away NYY Home
Team OPS 0.728 0.723
Bullpen FIP 3.55 4.52
Run Diff / 10G +0.9 +2.8
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -3 2

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
BOS -1.5 (-550)
NYY +1.5 (+359)
Total (O/U)
Over 8.5 (+358)
Under 8.5 (-548)
Moneyline
BOS -1540
NYY +700

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

BOS โ€” Away
Sonny Gray Sonny Gray SP
Outs
17.5
63 ยท OVER
NYY โ€” Home

No data yet.

See the Full Analysis

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