โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

CHC vs
NYM

Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets

June 24, 2026 ยท 1:10 PM ET ยท Citi Field
CHC 89-73  ยท  NYM 74-88

๐Ÿ Final: CHC 10, NYM 3 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† New York Mets
Confidence 59%
Projected Score NYM 7 ยท CHC 5
Blowout Probability 6%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

NYM Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHC Key injuries NYM (Christian Scott, Jared Young) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM SP quality edge (FIP 3.52 vs 4.94) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHC Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHC Defensive edge (dWAR 2.8) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM K edge vs CHC lineup (9.7 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHC Recent run diff (+4.2 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM CHC SP home dependent โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

CHC โ€” Away RHP
Javier Assad
Javier Assad
ERA3.63
WHIP1.15
FIP4.83
K/96.0
K/BB3.4
Road ERA: 4.82
vs
NYM โ€” Home RHP
Nolan McLean
Nolan McLean
ERA3.16
WHIP1.17
FIP3.34
K/99.7
K/BB6.2
Home ERA: 3.48

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

CHC โ€” Away
  1. 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong CF
  2. 2 Michael Conforto RF
  3. 3 Michael Busch 1B
  4. 4 Seiya Suzuki DH
  5. 5 Ian Happ LF
  6. 6 Nico Hoerner 2B
  7. 7 Pedro Ramirez 3B
  8. 8 Miguel Amaya C
  9. 9 Dansby Swanson SS
NYM โ€” Home
  1. 1 Carson Benge RF
  2. 2 A.J. Ewing CF
  3. 3 Bo Bichette SS
  4. 4 Jared Young 1B
  5. 5 Francisco Alvarez DH
  6. 6 Brett Baty 3B
  7. 7 Marcus Semien 2B
  8. 8 MJ Melendez LF
  9. 9 Luis Torrens C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

CHC Away NYM Home
Team OPS 0.763 0.700
Bullpen FIP 5.34 4.39
Run Diff / 10G +2.6 -1.6
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -2 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
CHC -4.5 (+115)
NYM +4.5 (-150)
Total (O/U)
Over 11.5 (-134)
Under 11.5 (+103)
Moneyline
CHC -10000
NYM +1320

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

CHC โ€” Away
Michael Busch Michael Busch 1B
Singles
0.5
54 ยท OVER
NYM โ€” Home
Carson Benge Carson Benge RF
Singles
0.5
77 ยท OVER
Bo Bichette Bo Bichette SS
Singles
0.5
63 ยท OVER
Nolan McLean Nolan McLean SP
Outs
17.5
58 ยท OVER
Francisco Alvarez Francisco Alvarez DH
Singles
0.5
50 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

Launch Workspace Back to MLB