โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

NYY vs
BOS

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox

June 25, 2026 ยท 7:10 PM ET ยท Fenway Park
NYY 93-68  ยท  BOS 87-75

๐Ÿ Final: NYY 3, BOS 6 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† New York Yankees
Confidence 72%
Projected Score NYY 6 ยท BOS 4
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

BOS Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Key injuries BOS (Mickey Gasper, Roman Anthony) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY SP quality edge (FIP 2.54 vs 4.49, PF 1.07) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Defensive edge (dWAR 3.1) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY K edge vs BOS lineup (11.1 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Recent run diff (+1.6 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY SP road mastery (ERA 1.18 R vs 3.04 H) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

NYY โ€” Away RHP
Cam Schlittler
Cam Schlittler
ERA1.95
WHIP0.92
FIP2.46
K/911.1
K/BB8.9
Road ERA: 1.18
vs
BOS โ€” Home LHP
Connelly Early
Connelly Early
ERA3.33
WHIP1.23
FIP4.26
K/99.0
K/BB5.7

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

NYY โ€” Away
  1. 1 Paul Goldschmidt DH
  2. 2 Ben Rice 1B
  3. 3 Amed Rosario 3B
  4. 4 Cody Bellinger CF
  5. 5 Jasson Dominguez RF
  6. 6 Anthony Volpe SS
  7. 7 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
  8. 8 Jose Caballero LF
  9. 9 Austin Wells C
BOS โ€” Home
  1. 1 Masataka Yoshida DH
  2. 2 Ceddanne Rafaela CF
  3. 3 Wilyer Abreu RF
  4. 4 Willson Contreras 1B
  5. 5 Jarren Duran LF
  6. 6 Caleb Durbin 3B
  7. 7 Anthony Seigler 2B
  8. 8 Carlos Narvaez C
  9. 9 Marcelo Mayer SS

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

NYY Away BOS Home
Team OPS 0.711 0.698
Bullpen FIP 4.52 3.55
Run Diff / 10G +1.1 -0.5
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 2 -3

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
NYY +2.5 (+292)
BOS -2.5 (-423)
Total (O/U)
Over 9.5 (+290)
Under 9.5 (-420)
Moneyline
NYY +820
BOS -2200

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

NYY โ€” Away
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
Singles
0.5
61 ยท OVER
Amed Rosario Amed Rosario 3B
Singles
0.5
57 ยท OVER
Cam Schlittler Cam Schlittler SP
Outs
17.5
54 ยท OVER
Jose Caballero Jose Caballero LF
Singles
0.5
51 ยท OVER
BOS โ€” Home
Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela CF
Singles
0.5
51 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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