โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

SF vs
NYM

San Francisco Giants vs New York Mets

September 4, 2026 ยท 7:10 PM ET ยท Citi Field
SF 58-83  ยท  NYM 63-77

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† New York Mets
Confidence 63%
Projected Score NYM 5 ยท SF 3
Blowout Probability 8%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

NYM Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Key injuries SF (Victor Bericoto, Willy Adames) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM SP confirmed NYM, away TBD โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SF Recent run diff (+1.3 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SF NYM SP road-favored (pitching at home) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

SF โ€” Away LHP
Matt Wilkinson
vs
NYM โ€” Home RHP
Nolan McLean
Nolan McLean
ERA3.06
WHIP1.12
FIP3.32
K/910.0
K/BB6.4
Home ERA: 3.67

๐ŸŒฌ๏ธ Ballpark Weather

Wind6 mph (calm)
Directioncrosswind, left to right
Temp80ยฐF
Run Env: HIGH โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜†โ˜† Neutral
Humidity 50% Gusts 12 mph Cloud 100% Rain Chance 1% Pressure 1010 hPa

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

SF โ€” Away Predicted
  1. 1 Drew Gilbert CF
  2. 2 Rafael Devers DH
  3. 3 Bryce Eldridge 1B
  4. 4 Jung Hoo Lee RF
  5. 5 Osleivis Basabe 2B
  6. 6 Drew Cavanaugh C
  7. 7 Turner Hill LF
  8. 8 Grant McCray LF
  9. 9 Christian Koss 3B
NYM โ€” Home Predicted
  1. 1 A.J. Ewing CF
  2. 2 Francisco Lindor SS
  3. 3 Bo Bichette 3B
  4. 4 Carson Benge RF
  5. 5 Jared Young 1B
  6. 6 Marcus Semien 2B
  7. 7 Brett Baty LF
  8. 8 Luis Torrens C
  9. 9 Francisco Alvarez C

Predicted lineups are projected from each team's most recent games and update once the official lineup posts, usually a few hours before first pitch.

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

SF Away NYM Home
Bullpen FIP 4.02 4.19
Run Diff / 10G +0.2 -1.1
Days Rest 0 1
Streak -1 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
SF +1.5 (-136)
NYM -1.5 (+113)
Total (O/U)
Over 8.0 (-117)
Under 8.0 (-103)
Moneyline
SF +157
NYM -191

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

SF โ€” Away
Rafael Devers Rafael Devers
Hits
0.5
67 ยท OVER
Bryce Eldridge Bryce Eldridge
Hits
0.5
61 ยท OVER
Turner Hill Turner Hill
Hits
0.5
53 ยท OVER
NYM โ€” Home
Bo Bichette Bo Bichette
Hits
0.5
69 ยท OVER
Carson Benge Carson Benge
Hits
0.5
69 ยท OVER
Jared Young Jared Young
Hits
0.5
61 ยท OVER
Marcus Semien Marcus Semien
Hits
0.5
56 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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