โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

STL vs
NYM

St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Mets

June 11, 2026 ยท 1:10 PM ET ยท Citi Field
STL 77-85  ยท  NYM 74-88

๐Ÿ Final: STL 4, NYM 5 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† New York Mets
Confidence 66%
Projected Score NYM 6 ยท STL 4
Blowout Probability 10%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

NYM Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Key injuries NYM (Jared Young, Christian Scott) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM SP quality edge (FIP 2.83 vs 4.58) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM K edge vs STL lineup (11.0 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Recent run diff (+1.3 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

STL โ€” Away RHP
Hunter Dobbins
ERA3.67
WHIP1.35
FIP4.19
K/98.7
K/BB4.7
vs
NYM โ€” Home RHP
Christian Scott
Christian Scott
ERA3.85
WHIP1.27
FIP3.36
K/911.0
K/BB7.1
Home ERA: 4.02

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

STL โ€” Away
  1. 1 JJ Wetherholt 2B
  2. 2 Ivan Herrera DH
  3. 3 Alec Burleson 1B
  4. 4 Jordan Walker RF
  5. 5 Lars Nootbaar LF
  6. 6 Masyn Winn SS
  7. 7 Jimmy Crooks C
  8. 8 Nolan Gorman 3B
  9. 9 Nathan Church CF
NYM โ€” Home
  1. 1 Carson Benge RF
  2. 2 Bo Bichette SS
  3. 3 Juan Soto DH
  4. 4 Jared Young 1B
  5. 5 A.J. Ewing CF
  6. 6 Marcus Semien 2B
  7. 7 Brett Baty 3B
  8. 8 Francisco Alvarez C
  9. 9 MJ Melendez LF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

STL Away NYM Home
Team OPS 0.691 0.725
Bullpen FIP 3.97 4.39
Run Diff / 10G +2.1 +0.8
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -4 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
STL -1.5 (+1000)
NYM +1.5 (-3700)
Total (O/U)
Over 9.5 (+547)
Under 9.5 (-1000)
Moneyline
STL +1000
NYM -3700

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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