โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

TB vs
MIA

Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins

June 5, 2026 ยท 7:10 PM ET ยท loanDepot park
TB 98-64  ยท  MIA 80-82

๐Ÿ Final: TB 6, MIA 0 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Miami Marlins
Confidence 51%
Projected Score MIA 5 ยท TB 3
Blowout Probability 3%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

MIA Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Key injuries MIA (Jakob Marsee) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Key injuries TB (Chandler Simpson, Griffin Jax) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB SP quality edge (FIP 3.15 vs 4.95) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA TB SP fatigued โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Defensive edge (dWAR 4.9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Recent run diff (+3.4 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

TB โ€” Away RHP
Drew Rasmussen
Drew Rasmussen
ERA2.67
WHIP0.91
FIP2.69
K/99.1
K/BB7.4
Road ERA: 2.50
vs
MIA โ€” Home RHP
Ryan Gusto
Ryan Gusto
ERA4.09
WHIP1.44
FIP4.00
K/97.6
K/BB4.7
Home ERA: 4.33

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

TB โ€” Away
  1. 1 Chandler Simpson LF
  2. 2 Junior Caminero 3B
  3. 3 Jonathan Aranda 1B
  4. 4 Yandy Diaz DH
  5. 5 Richie Palacios 2B
  6. 6 Ryan Vilade RF
  7. 7 Cedric Mullins CF
  8. 8 Nick Fortes C
  9. 9 Taylor Walls SS
MIA โ€” Home
  1. 1 Liam Hicks DH
  2. 2 Otto Lopez SS
  3. 3 Kyle Stowers 1B
  4. 4 Xavier Edwards 2B
  5. 5 Javier Sanoja 3B
  6. 6 Owen Caissie RF
  7. 7 Jakob Marsee CF
  8. 8 Joe Mack C
  9. 9 Esteury Ruiz LF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

TB Away MIA Home
Team OPS 0.727 0.743
Bullpen FIP 4.55 3.97
Run Diff / 10G -3.7 -0.3
Days Rest 1 1
Streak -1 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
TB -4.5 (-177)
MIA +4.5 (+135)
Total (O/U)
Over 7.5 (-119)
Under 7.5 (-109)
Moneyline
TB -10000
MIA +1400

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

TB โ€” Away
Drew Rasmussen Drew Rasmussen SP
Pitcher Ks
4.5
60 ยท OVER
MIA โ€” Home

No data yet.

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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