โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

Washington Nationals vs Cincinnati Reds

May 14, 2026 ยท 12:40 PM ET ยท Great American Ball Park
WSH 77-85  ยท  CIN 75-87

๐Ÿ Final: WSH 1, CIN 15 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Cincinnati Reds
Confidence 72%
Projected Score CIN 6 ยท WSH 3
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

CIN Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH Key injuries CIN (Chase Burns) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CIN SP quality edge (FIP 3.21 vs 3.75, PF 1.12) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH Defensive edge (dWAR 2.9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CIN K edge vs WSH lineup (10.8 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH Recent run diff (+2.8 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CIN SP home venue edge (ERA 2.25 H vs 3.56 A) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

WSH โ€” Away LHP
ERA3.60
WHIP1.21
FIP3.79
K/98.3
K/BB5.9
Road ERA: 5.97
vs
CIN โ€” Home RHP
ERA2.86
WHIP1.17
FIP3.22
K/910.8
K/BB7.5
Home ERA: 2.25

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

WSH Away CIN Home
Team OPS 0.714 0.686
Bullpen FIP 5.88 5.25
Run Diff / 10G +0.9 -1.9
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
WSH +4.5 (+111)
CIN -4.5 (-144)
Total (O/U)
Over 8.5 (+108)
Under 8.5 (-141)
Moneyline
WSH +1340
CIN -10000

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

WSH โ€” Away
Foster Griffin Foster Griffin SP
Outs
17.5
51 ยท UNDER
CIN โ€” Home

No data yet.

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.