MLB Final Intelligence
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Houston Astros โ Recap
September 5, 2026 ยท Daikin Park ยท View Preview
Game Recap
The Arizona Diamondbacks completed a late-game rally against the Houston Astros, tying the score in the eighth inning before securing an extra-inning victory. This comeback marked an upset, as the Diamondbacks, favored by SportsFBI's model, defeated a Houston team that was the pregame market favorite.
Houston initially took the lead in the third inning when Isaac Paredes singled to right, driving in Diaz and Trammell. Arizona answered in the fifth with Perdomo's sacrifice fly, but Paredes extended the Astros' advantage later that inning with an infield single that scored Peรฑa, making it 3-1.
The Diamondbacks began their comeback in the seventh, as Nootbaar doubled home Tawa to cut the deficit to one run. The pivotal moment arrived in the eighth when Ketel Marte launched a 388-foot solo home run to right field, knotting the game at three. This dramatic shot erased the Astros' advantage, which had been built on Isaac Paredes' three RBIs earlier in the contest. With the game forced into extra innings, Gabriel Moreno delivered the go-ahead single to center in the tenth, driving in Vargas. Brandon Pfaadt delivered a solid outing for Arizona, allowing three earned runs over 6.1 innings, keeping his team within striking distance throughout the comeback effort.
The Diamondbacks' ability to chip away at the lead and deliver clutch hits late in the game proved to be the difference. Their resilience ultimately allowed them to snatch victory from an early deficit. Following the win, Arizona moved to 75-68, while Houston now stands at 73-70.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the Houston Astros (-112, 50% implied) over the Arizona Diamondbacks. Final: the Arizona Diamondbacks won 4โ3, pulling off the upset.
SportsFBI's model favored the Arizona Diamondbacks (56% confidence). Final: the Arizona Diamondbacks won 4โ3.
Player of the Game
Pitching
| Pitcher | Team | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Pfaadt |
|
6.1 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3.53 |
| Ethan Pecko |
|
4.1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5.19 |
| AJ Blubaugh |
|
1.2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3.07 |
| Enyel De Los Santos |
|
1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4.32 |
| Brandyn Garcia S |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2.14 |
| Jonathan Loaisiga W |
|
1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2.35 |
| Juan Morillo |
|
1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2.08 |
| Bryan King L |
|
1.0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.67 |
| Josh Hader |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.69 |
| Kevin Ginkel |
|
0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4.14 |
| Kai-Wei Teng |
|
0.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4.76 |
Batting
| Batter | Team | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Paredes |
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Gabriel Moreno |
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Lars Nootbaar |
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Cam Smith |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Yainer Diaz |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Ketel Marte |
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Corbin Carroll |
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Nolan Arenado |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Tim Tawa |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Daulton Varsho |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jose Altuve |
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Taylor Trammell |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
More MLB Results โ Saturday, September 5, 2026
Sharper Picks Start Here
Live odds, Key Suspects, player props, DFS rankings, and real-time game tracking โ all in one workspace built for serious bettors and DFS players.