โ† MLB

MLB Final Intelligence

ARI 78-69
4 โ€“ 3
FINAL
HOU 75-72

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Houston Astros โ€” Recap

September 5, 2026  ยท Daikin Park  ยท View Preview

๐Ÿ“ฐGame Recap

The Arizona Diamondbacks completed a late-game rally against the Houston Astros, tying the score in the eighth inning before securing an extra-inning victory. This comeback marked an upset, as the Diamondbacks, favored by SportsFBI's model, defeated a Houston team that was the pregame market favorite.

Houston initially took the lead in the third inning when Isaac Paredes singled to right, driving in Diaz and Trammell. Arizona answered in the fifth with Perdomo's sacrifice fly, but Paredes extended the Astros' advantage later that inning with an infield single that scored Peรฑa, making it 3-1.

The Diamondbacks began their comeback in the seventh, as Nootbaar doubled home Tawa to cut the deficit to one run. The pivotal moment arrived in the eighth when Ketel Marte launched a 388-foot solo home run to right field, knotting the game at three. This dramatic shot erased the Astros' advantage, which had been built on Isaac Paredes' three RBIs earlier in the contest. With the game forced into extra innings, Gabriel Moreno delivered the go-ahead single to center in the tenth, driving in Vargas. Brandon Pfaadt delivered a solid outing for Arizona, allowing three earned runs over 6.1 innings, keeping his team within striking distance throughout the comeback effort.

The Diamondbacks' ability to chip away at the lead and deliver clutch hits late in the game proved to be the difference. Their resilience ultimately allowed them to snatch victory from an early deficit. Following the win, Arizona moved to 75-68, while Houston now stands at 73-70.

#MLB #ArizonaDiamondbacks #HoustonAstros #KetelMarte #GabrielMoreno

How the Prediction Fared

โšก Upset

Pregame, the market favored the Houston Astros (-112, 50% implied) over the Arizona Diamondbacks. Final: the Arizona Diamondbacks won 4โ€“3, pulling off the upset.

โœ“ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model favored the Arizona Diamondbacks (56% confidence). Final: the Arizona Diamondbacks won 4โ€“3.

Player of the Game

Isaac Paredes
At the Plate
5 AB, 2 H, 3 RBI
Brandon Pfaadt
On the Mound
6.1 IP, 4 K, 3 ER

Linescore

12345678910 RHE
ARI 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 4 80
HOU 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 90

Pitching

Pitcher Team IP H R ER BB K ERA
Brandon Pfaadt 6.1 7 3 3 2 4 3.53
Ethan Pecko 4.1 5 1 1 1 2 5.19
AJ Blubaugh 1.2 2 1 1 0 2 3.07
Enyel De Los Santos 1.2 0 0 0 0 2 4.32
Brandyn Garcia S 1.0 0 0 0 0 2 2.14
Jonathan Loaisiga W 1.0 1 0 0 0 2 2.35
Juan Morillo 1.0 1 0 0 0 1 2.08
Bryan King L 1.0 1 1 0 0 0 4.67
Josh Hader 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 0.69
Kevin Ginkel 0.2 0 0 0 0 1 4.14
Kai-Wei Teng 0.1 0 1 1 2 1 4.76

Batting

Batter Team AB H HR RBI R BB K
Isaac Paredes 5 2 0 3 0 0 0
Gabriel Moreno 5 2 0 1 0 0 1
Lars Nootbaar 3 2 0 1 0 1 0
Cam Smith 4 2 0 0 0 0 1
Yainer Diaz 4 2 0 0 1 0 1
Ketel Marte 5 1 1 1 1 0 0
Corbin Carroll 5 1 0 0 0 0 1
Nolan Arenado 4 1 0 0 0 0 1
Tim Tawa 3 1 0 0 2 1 2
Daulton Varsho 4 1 0 0 0 0 0
Jose Altuve 5 1 0 0 0 0 1
Taylor Trammell 4 1 0 0 1 0 2

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