MLB Final Intelligence
Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins — Recap
September 27, 2026 · loanDepot park · View Preview
Game Recap
The Miami Marlins edged out the Atlanta Braves in a tight contest, using a pivotal three-run sixth inning to establish a lead they would not relinquish. The win fulfilled SportsFBI’s pregame analytics model, which favored Miami with 72% confidence due to a perceived starting pitcher quality advantage.
Atlanta initially struck first in the third inning when Mauricio Dubon launched a solo home run to left center. Miami quickly answered in the bottom of the fourth, as Hernández connected for a solo shot of his own to knot the score at one run apiece. The Marlins then broke the tie in the sixth, with Ruiz singling home Hernández, followed by Serna’s double that scored both De Los Santos and Ruiz, extending the lead to 4-1.
The Braves mounted a comeback attempt in the top of the seventh. Keirsey Jr.'s ground out allowed Kim to score, and Dubon followed with an RBI single to right, bringing Hicklen home and cutting Miami’s lead to a single run. However, Miami responded immediately in the bottom half of the inning with a decisive 415-foot solo home run to right field by Conine, restoring a two-run cushion. Janson Junk provided a solid foundation for Miami, delivering 4.2 innings and allowing only one earned run while striking out five.
Ultimately, Miami's timely offense in the middle innings, particularly their burst in the sixth, proved too much for Atlanta to overcome despite a resilient effort. The Marlins improved their record to 80-82, while the Braves now stand at 94-68.
How the Prediction Fared
SportsFBI's model favored the Miami Marlins (72% confidence). Final: the Miami Marlins won 5–3.
Player of the Game
Turning Point
The game turned in the 6th inning, when the Miami Marlins scored 3 runs.
Pitching
| Pitcher | Team | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JR Ritchie L |
|
5.2 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4.91 |
| Janson Junk |
|
4.2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4.22 |
| AJ Smith-Shawver |
|
1.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6.61 |
| Michael Petersen W |
|
1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3.02 |
| Elieser Hernandez |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2.25 |
| Calvin Faucher |
|
1.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3.56 |
| Josh Ekness |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3.23 |
| Sandy Alcantara S |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3.87 |
Batting
| Batter | Team | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mauricio Dubon |
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Heriberto Hernandez |
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Jared Serna |
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sean Murphy |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Griffin Conine |
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Esteury Ruiz |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Brewer Hicklen |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Deyvison De Los Santos |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Graham Pauley |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
More MLB Results — Sunday, September 27, 2026
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