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MLB Final Intelligence

CLE 85-77
3 – 2
FINAL
BOS 87-75

Cleveland Guardians vs Boston Red Sox β€” Recap

September 22, 2026  Β· Fenway Park  Β· View Preview

πŸ“°Game Recap

The Cleveland Guardians manufactured a late-inning rally to upset the Boston Red Sox 3-2, securing the go-ahead run in the ninth inning. Entering the contest as underdogs, Cleveland took an early lead, saw it evaporate in the eighth, but immediately reclaimed the advantage to clinch a narrow victory.

Cleveland initiated the scoring in the second inning when Fry singled to center, bringing home MartΓ­nez. The Guardians added another run moments later on a Rocchio groundout, increasing their lead to 2-0. Boston quickly answered in the bottom half, cutting the deficit to one run after Monasterio grounded out, allowing Rutschman to score. The 2-1 scoreline held for much of the contest.

Boston finally broke the stalemate in the bottom of the eighth, as Mickey Gasper launched a solo home run to right field, tying the game at 2-2 and negating Cleveland's early advantage. The Red Sox were heavily favored pregame, with both the market and SportsFBI's model leaning Boston due to a significant starting pitcher quality edge (FIP 2.49 vs 2.94, PF 1.07). Despite this, Parker Messick delivered a strong outing for the Guardians, striking out five and allowing just one earned run over five innings. Cleveland ultimately secured the decisive run in the top of the ninth when Lowe hit a sacrifice fly to left field, bringing DeLauter home.

Cleveland's ability to respond quickly after Boston tied the game proved the difference, as they managed to scratch across just enough offense to overcome a favored opponent. The Guardians now stand at 82-75, while the Red Sox fell to 84-73.

#MLB #ClevelandGuardians #BostonRedSox #ParkerMessick

How the Prediction Fared

⚑ Upset

Pregame, the market favored the Boston Red Sox (-122, 53% implied) over the Cleveland Guardians. Final: the Cleveland Guardians won 3–2, pulling off the upset.

⚑ Model Missed

SportsFBI's model favored the Boston Red Sox (53% confidence). Final: the Cleveland Guardians won 3–2, missing the call.

Player of the Game

Mickey Gasper
At the Plate
1 AB, 1 H, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Parker Messick
On the Mound
5.0 IP, 5 K, 1 ER

Linescore

123456789 RHE
CLE 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 120
BOS 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 81

Pitching

Pitcher Team IP H R ER BB K ERA
Payton Tolle 5.2 8 2 2 2 5 3.03
Parker Messick 5.0 5 1 1 1 5 2.55
Alec Gamboa 1.1 1 0 0 1 1 1.16
Erik Miller L 1.0 2 1 1 1 0 3.04
Jovani Moran 1.0 1 0 0 0 3 3.18
Cade Smith S 1.0 0 0 0 1 1 1.99
Erik Sabrowski 1.0 0 0 0 1 3 2.72
Hunter Gaddis W 1.0 2 1 1 0 2 2.78
Tim Herrin 0.2 1 0 0 0 0 2.95
Craig Yoho 0.1 0 0 0 1 1 4.50

Batting

Batter Team AB H HR RBI R BB K
Adley Rutschman 4 3 0 0 1 0 0
Angel Martinez 4 3 0 0 1 0 0
Nick Sogard 5 2 0 0 0 0 2
Chase DeLauter 4 2 0 0 1 0 0
Mickey Gasper 1 1 1 1 1 0 0
David Fry 3 1 0 1 1 0 0
Nate Eaton 3 1 0 0 0 0 1
Wilyer Abreu 4 1 0 0 0 0 1
Brayan Rocchio 5 1 0 0 0 0 1
Jo Adell 4 1 0 0 0 1 1
Jose Ramirez 5 1 0 0 0 0 1
Petey Halpin 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Steven Kwan 4 1 0 0 0 1 2
Travis Bazzana 4 1 0 0 0 0 3

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