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MLB Final Intelligence

MIA 80-82
8 – 2
FINAL
CHC 89-73

Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs β€” Recap

September 22, 2026  Β· Wrigley Field  Β· View Preview

πŸ“°Game Recap

The Miami Marlins erupted for six runs in the 12th inning to break open a tied game and defeat the Chicago Cubs 8-2, orchestrating an upset against a team heavily favored by both pregame markets and analytical models.

Miami initially took a lead in the fourth inning when RamΓ­rez singled home Kyle Stowers. Stowers later extended that lead with a solo home run in the sixth. However, Chicago quickly answered in the bottom of the frame, tying the game at two runs apiece with help from a fielding error by catcher Mack and a timely single by Happ. The score remained deadlocked through the ninth and into extra innings, setting the stage for a dramatic finish.

The decisive blow came in the top of the 12th. After Ruiz scored on a Conine single to break the tie, Miami's offense continued its onslaught. Marsee added another run with a single, and Stowers drew a walk that scored Marsee. Sanoja then singled home another run, before Mack delivered a two-run single that extended the lead to six runs. This offensive outburst was made possible by Janson Junk's dominant relief appearance; he tossed five scoreless innings, striking out six and preventing the Cubs from taking the lead after their early comeback.

The Marlins' persistent late-game hitting, combined with Junk's stellar extended relief outing, ultimately proved too much for the Cubs, allowing them to clinch a crucial road victory. The Marlins now stand at 77-80, while the Cubs fall to 87-70.

#MLB #MiamiMarlins #ChicagoCubs #KyleStowers #JansonJunk

How the Prediction Fared

⚑ Upset

Pregame, the market favored the Chicago Cubs (-220, 66% implied) over the Miami Marlins. Final: the Miami Marlins won 8–2, pulling off the upset.

⚑ Model Missed

SportsFBI's model favored the Chicago Cubs (65% confidence). Final: the Miami Marlins won 8–2, missing the call.

Player of the Game

Kyle Stowers
At the Plate
4 AB, 2 H, 1 HR, 2 RBI
Janson Junk
On the Mound
5.0 IP, 6 K, 0 ER

Linescore

123456789101112 RHE
MIA 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 6 8 111
CHC 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 70

Turning Point

The game turned in the 12th inning, when the Miami Marlins scored 6 runs.

Pitching

Pitcher Team IP H R ER BB K ERA
Shota Imanaga 5.0 4 1 1 0 7 3.74
Janson Junk 5.0 2 0 0 1 6 4.31
Aaron Civale 2.0 1 1 1 0 2 4.21
Daniel Palencia 1.1 0 0 0 0 1 3.77
Ryan Rolison 1.1 1 0 0 0 2 2.90
Caleb Thielbar L 1.0 2 3 2 0 0 4.99
Calvin Faucher 1.0 1 0 0 0 2 3.39
Eury Perez 1.0 0 0 0 0 3 4.14
Jack Ralston 1.0 0 0 0 2 0 3.68
Josh Ekness W 1.0 0 0 0 1 2 3.54
Michael Petersen 1.0 1 0 0 1 1 3.11
Tyler Zuber 1.0 1 0 0 0 1 5.67
Victor Vodnik 1.0 0 0 0 0 2 5.08
Edward Cabrera 0.2 2 3 3 2 1 5.96
Ryan Zeferjahn 0.2 1 0 0 1 1 3.93

Batting

Batter Team AB H HR RBI R BB K
Kyle Stowers 4 2 1 2 3 1 1
Joe Mack 3 2 0 2 0 0 0
Javier Sanoja 5 2 0 1 0 1 1
Pete Crow-Armstrong 4 2 0 0 1 2 1
Seiya Suzuki 6 2 0 0 1 0 1
Ian Happ 6 1 0 1 0 0 2
Agustin Ramirez 3 1 0 1 0 0 0
Griffin Conine 6 1 0 1 1 0 1
Jakob Marsee 3 1 0 1 1 0 1
Carson Kelly 5 1 0 0 0 0 3
Michael Busch 4 1 0 0 0 2 1
Heriberto Hernandez 5 1 0 0 1 1 1
Otto Lopez 5 1 0 0 1 0 1

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