โ† MLB

MLB Final Intelligence

LAD 100-62
2 โ€“ 6
FINAL
CIN 75-87

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds โ€” Recap

September 16, 2026  ยท Great American Ball Park  ยท View Preview

๐Ÿ“ฐGame Recap

The Cincinnati Reds pulled off an upset victory over the heavily favored Los Angeles Dodgers, using timely hitting and a resilient offense to build a lead and ultimately win 6-2. Despite Los Angeles being favored by the pregame market and SportsFBI's proprietary model (which had a 72% confidence in the Dodgers due to a significant starting pitcher quality edge), the Reds never trailed after the third inning, quickly erasing an early deficit and steadily adding insurance runs to secure the win.

Los Angeles initially took the lead in the top of the third inning when Smith doubled to right field, scoring Betts. However, Cincinnati responded immediately in the bottom half of the frame. Elly De La Cruz launched a 391-foot home run to right, bringing McLain home and giving the Reds a 2-1 advantage. Myers then extended Cincinnati's lead to 3-1 with a 376-foot solo shot to right center in the fifth. The Dodgers managed to cut the deficit to one run in the sixth when Edman grounded out, allowing Tucker to score. Yet again, the Reds had an answer, as Brito singled home Stewart in the bottom of the sixth to make it 4-2. Cincinnati solidified their lead in the seventh with two more runs; Stewart's infield single scored McLain, and Friedl followed with a single to center that brought De La Cruz home, pushing the score to 6-2.

The turning point came early when the Reds immediately countered the Dodgers' lone lead. After Los Angeles scored in the top of the third, De La Cruz's two-run blast in the bottom of the inning not only erased the deficit but gave Cincinnati a lead they would not relinquish. This established a pattern for the game; every time the Dodgers threatened or scored, the Reds found a way to respond and extend their advantage. Cincinnati's consistent offensive pressure, particularly with two-run frames in both the third and seventh innings, was critical. On the mound, Andrew Abbott contributed significantly to the Reds' effort, allowing just one earned run and striking out five over 4.2 innings, limiting the high-powered Dodgers lineup.

The Cincinnati Reds prevailed through a combination of responsive hitting and a solid pitching performance that kept the Dodgers at bay. Despite entering the game as significant underdogs, they demonstrated a consistent ability to generate offense and maintain control, never letting Los Angeles regain momentum after the third inning. This victory improves the Reds' record to 71-81, while the Dodgers now stand at 92-60.

#MLB #Reds #Dodgers #EllyDeLaCruz #Baseball

How the Prediction Fared

โšก Upset

Pregame, the market favored the Los Angeles Dodgers (-207, 64% implied) over the Cincinnati Reds. Final: the Cincinnati Reds won 6โ€“2, pulling off the upset.

โšก Model Missed

SportsFBI's model favored the Los Angeles Dodgers (72% confidence). Final: the Cincinnati Reds won 6โ€“2, missing the call.

Player of the Game

Elly De La Cruz
At the Plate
3 AB, 1 H, 1 HR, 2 RBI
Andrew Abbott
On the Mound
4.2 IP, 5 K, 1 ER

Linescore

123456789 RHE
LAD 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 70
CIN 0 0 2 0 1 1 2 0 โ€” 6 130

Pitching

Pitcher Team IP H R ER BB K ERA
Andrew Abbott 4.2 3 1 1 5 5 4.70
Bobby Miller 2.1 3 2 2 0 1 5.06
Brock Burke 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 2.40
Emilio Pagan 1.0 1 0 0 0 3 3.63
Graham Ashcraft 1.0 0 0 0 2 1 4.60
Julian Garcia 1.0 2 1 1 1 1 3.13
Blake Snell 1.0 1 0 0 0 1 1.86
Blake Treinen 1.0 2 0 0 0 1 3.33
Jack Dreyer 1.0 3 2 2 2 0 3.19
Kris Bubic 1.0 1 0 0 0 2 4.03
Seth Halvorsen L 1.0 2 2 2 0 0 6.00
Alex Vesia 0.2 1 0 0 0 0 2.83
Tejay Antone W 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 3.35

Batting

Batter Team AB H HR RBI R BB K
Juan Brito 3 3 0 1 0 0 0
Sal Stewart 4 3 0 1 1 0 0
Mookie Betts 4 3 0 0 1 1 0
Will Smith 4 2 0 1 0 1 1
Elly De La Cruz 3 1 1 2 2 1 0
Dane Myers 5 1 1 1 1 0 2
TJ Friedl 1 1 0 1 0 0 0
JJ Bleday 4 1 0 0 0 0 0
Jose Trevino 4 1 0 0 0 0 0
Matt McLain 4 1 0 0 2 0 2
Tyler Stephenson 3 1 0 0 0 0 0
Enrique Hernandez 3 1 0 0 0 0 1
Kyle Tucker 4 1 0 0 1 0 0

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