MLB Final Intelligence
San Francisco Giants vs St. Louis Cardinals β Recap
September 16, 2026 Β· Busch Stadium Β· View Preview
Game Recap
The San Francisco Giants, longshots in this matchup, battled through extra innings to secure a 6-5 victory over the St. Louis Cardinals. After building a multi-run lead, the Giants saw the Cardinals rally back to force extra frames, only to reclaim the advantage with a decisive two-run home run in the tenth inning. San Francisco opened the scoring in the third inning when B. Harris grounded into a double play, allowing Cox to cross the plate. Their lead stretched further in the seventh, as Cox singled home two runs, one on a throwing error by right fielder Walker, making it 3-0. St. Louis responded in the bottom half of the seventh, scoring on a throwing error by shortstop Koss and then again on a T. Harris wild pitch, narrowing the deficit to a single run. The Giants added another run in the eighth with a Knizner single, but the Cardinals mounted a two-run comeback in the ninth, knotting the score at four apiece, thanks to FermΓn's sacrifice fly and a Bernal single that brought Saggese home. The pivotal moment arrived in the tenth inning when Drew Gilbert launched a 415-foot, two-run home run to center field, giving the Giants a crucial 6-4 advantage. This blast came after St. Louis had fought back from a 4-2 deficit in the ninth, pushing across two runs to send the game to extra innings. Early in the game, Giants pitcher Anthony Molina delivered a stellar performance, holding the Cardinals scoreless through 5.2 innings while striking out six batters, laying the groundwork for his team's initial lead. Despite Molina's efforts, the bullpen couldn't hold the lead, creating the late-game drama that eventually swung in San Francisco's favor due to Gilbert's heroics. Ultimately, the San Francisco Giants prevailed through resilience and timely hitting, managing to regain control in extra innings after squandering an earlier lead. Their ability to deliver a decisive blow after the Cardinals had clawed their way back proved to be the difference. The Giants improved their record to 64-89, while the Cardinals fell to 75-78.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the St. Louis Cardinals (-164, 59% implied) over the San Francisco Giants. Final: the San Francisco Giants won 6β5, pulling off the upset.
SportsFBI's model favored the St. Louis Cardinals (70% confidence). Final: the San Francisco Giants won 6β5, missing the call.
Player of the Game
Pitching
| Pitcher | Team | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Liberatore |
|
6.0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5.36 |
| Anthony Molina |
|
5.2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4.18 |
| Trent Harris |
|
1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2.33 |
| Gordon Graceffo |
|
1.1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2.56 |
| Joel Kuhnel S |
|
1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4.54 |
| Luis Gastelum |
|
1.0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4.64 |
| Riley O'Brien L |
|
1.0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4.21 |
| Carson Seymour |
|
0.2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5.06 |
| Dylan Smith |
|
0.2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3.50 |
| Justin Bruihl |
|
0.2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.54 |
| Philip Abner |
|
0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5.09 |
| Reiver Sanmartin W |
|
0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.22 |
Batting
| Batter | Team | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Knizner |
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jonah Cox |
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Shay Whitcomb |
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan Church |
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Drew Gilbert |
|
1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Leo Bernal |
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Thomas Saggese |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Brett Harris |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Christian Koss |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Scott Bandura |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Turner Hill |
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alec Burleson |
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
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