MLB Final Intelligence
Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets β Recap
July 25, 2026 Β· Citi Field Β· View Preview
Game Recap
The Los Angeles Dodgers, sporting a dominant 67-39 record, lived up to their billing as the pregame favorite on Tuesday night, securing a narrow 4-3 victory over the New York Mets (44-62). While the Dodgers never trailed, they had to withstand a late surge from the Mets at Citi Field, ultimately seeing the game unfold largely as predicted by the market, which gave Los Angeles an implied 59% chance of winning.
The Dodgers broke the scoreless tie in the top of the third inning, initiating what would become the game's turning point. Kyle Tucker launched a 392-foot solo home run to right field, putting Los Angeles on the board. The inning continued to be productive, as Rushing scored on a fielder's choice by Pages, and Pages himself later crossed the plate on a passed ball by catcher Alvarez, capping a crucial three-run frame that gave the Dodgers a 3-0 lead. They extended their advantage in the fifth inning when Pages singled to right field, bringing home T. HernΓ‘ndez to make it 4-0.
The Mets, however, began to chip away at the deficit. In the bottom of the fifth, Bichette singled to left, allowing Baty to score and cut the lead to 4-1. The home team then mounted a more significant threat in the eighth inning. With runners on base, Taylor doubled to left field, driving in both Robert Jr. and Benge, suddenly bringing the Mets within a single run at 4-3 and setting up a tense final frame.
Despite the late-game drama, the Dodgers' bullpen managed to hold off the Mets' comeback attempt, preserving the 4-3 win. Kyle Tucker's third-inning blast highlighted his top batting performance, finishing with a home run, an RBI, and a run scored. On the pitching side, Mets starter Nolan McLean delivered a notable outing despite the loss, fanning seven batters and allowing just two earned runs over 6.0 innings. Ultimately, the Dodgers departed New York having met their favored expectation, adding another win to their impressive season tally.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the Los Angeles Dodgers (-159, 59% implied) over the New York Mets. Final: the Los Angeles Dodgers won 4β3.
Player of the Game
Turning Point
The game turned in the 3rd inning, when the Los Angeles Dodgers scored 3 runs.
Pitching
| Pitcher | Team | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto W |
|
6.0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2.72 |
| Nolan McLean L |
|
6.0 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 3.32 |
| Alex Vesia |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2.55 |
| Brock Stewart S |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2.03 |
| Huascar Brazoban |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.70 |
| Edgardo Henriquez |
|
0.2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2.81 |
| Tanner Scott |
|
0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2.32 |
Batting
| Batter | Team | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freddie Freeman |
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bo Bichette |
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyle Tucker |
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Andy Pages |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyrone Taylor |
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dalton Rushing |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Mookie Betts |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Teoscar Hernandez |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Brett Baty |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Carson Benge |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Francisco Alvarez |
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
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