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MLB Matchup Intelligence

MIL vs
STL

Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals

May 5, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM ET ยท Busch Stadium
MIL 103-59  ยท  STL 77-85

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† St. Louis Cardinals
Confidence 50%
Projected Score STL 5 ยท MIL 3
Blowout Probability 3%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

STL Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Key injuries MIL (Andrew Vaughn, Joey Ortiz) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL SP quality edge (FIP 4.11 vs 5.51) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL STL SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL Recent run diff (+0.4 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL SP road mastery (ERA 3.99 R vs 7.12 H) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

MIL โ€” Away RHP
Brandon Sproat
Brandon Sproat
ERA5.57
WHIP1.44
FIP4.90
K/99.4
K/BB4.5
Road ERA: 3.99
vs
STL โ€” Home RHP
Andre Pallante
Andre Pallante
ERA3.83
WHIP1.27
FIP3.63
K/96.1
K/BB3.3
Home ERA: 4.51

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

MIL โ€” Away
STL โ€” Home
  1. 1 JJ Wetherholt 2B
  2. 2 Ivan Herrera C
  3. 3 Alec Burleson 1B
  4. 4 Jordan Walker RF
  5. 5 Nolan Gorman DH
  6. 6 Masyn Winn SS
  7. 7 Nathan Church LF
  8. 8 Cesar Prieto 3B
  9. 9 Victor Scott II CF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

MIL Away STL Home
Team OPS โ€” 0.629
Bullpen FIP 3.68 3.97
Run Diff / 10G +1.9 +1.5
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 5 -4

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
MIL -1.5 (+143)
STL +1.5 (-174)
Total (O/U)
Over 7.5 (-118)
Under 7.5 (-102)
Moneyline
MIL -110
STL -110

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

MIL โ€” Away
Brandon Sproat Brandon Sproat SP
Pitcher Ks
4.5
50 ยท UNDER
STL โ€” Home

No data yet.

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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