MLB Final Intelligence
Philadelphia Phillies vs Seattle Mariners — Recap
August 24, 2026 · T-Mobile Park · View Preview
Game Recap
The Seattle Mariners delivered a decisive 9-2 victory over the Philadelphia Phillies, stunning the favored visitors with an overwhelming offensive display centered around Cal Raleigh’s remarkable three-homer performance. This upset triumph saw the Mariners build an early lead and consistently add insurance runs, never allowing the Phillies a significant chance to rally.
Philadelphia initially gained the upper hand in the top of the first inning when Bohm grounded out, allowing Schwarber to score. However, Seattle immediately countered with a five-run outburst in the bottom half. Julio Rodríguez launched a three-run homer to left, scoring Arozarena and Canzone, before Raleigh added a two-run blast to right, bringing Ward home and putting the Mariners up 5-1. The Phillies briefly narrowed the gap in the second on J.T. Realmuto's solo homer, but a wild pitch by Wheeler in the third allowed Rodríguez to score again for Seattle.
The Mariners’ five-run first inning proved to be the turning point, establishing a lead they would not relinquish and quickly erasing Philadelphia’s brief advantage. Even as the favored Phillies struggled to generate offense after the second, Seattle’s bats continued to provide separation. Raleigh hit his second home run in the fifth, a solo shot to right center, quickly followed by Young’s solo blast to right. Raleigh then completed his hat trick in the seventh with another solo homer, ensuring the Mariners’ command over the game and thwarting any potential comeback from a Phillies team that the pregame market and SportsFBI's model had favored.
Seattle's relentless offense, anchored by Raleigh's career day, ultimately powered them to a convincing win, consistently extending their lead and keeping Philadelphia at bay. The Mariners improved their record to 63-69, while the Phillies dropped to 73-59.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the Philadelphia Phillies (-123, 53% implied) over the Seattle Mariners. Final: the Seattle Mariners won 9–2, pulling off the upset.
SportsFBI's model favored the Philadelphia Phillies (72% confidence). Final: the Seattle Mariners won 9–2, missing the call.
Player of the Game
Turning Point
The game turned in the 1st inning, when the Seattle Mariners scored 5 runs.
Pitching
| Pitcher | Team | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Gilbert W |
|
5.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3.36 |
| Zack Wheeler L |
|
4.0 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 3.40 |
| Chase Shugart |
|
2.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4.70 |
| Seranthony Dominguez |
|
2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4.53 |
| Alex McFarlane |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1.23 |
| Jose Alvarado |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5.94 |
| Carlos Vargas |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3.86 |
| Gabe Speier |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.57 |
Batting
| Batter | Team | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh |
|
3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Josh Naylor |
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Julio Rodriguez |
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Bryce Harper |
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| J.T. Realmuto |
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Cole Young |
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Bryson Stott |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Luis Arraez |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dominic Canzone |
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
More MLB Results — Monday, August 24, 2026
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