MLB Final Intelligence
Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals β Recap
August 10, 2026 Β· Busch Stadium Β· View Preview
Game Recap
The Philadelphia Phillies secured a narrow 6-5 victory over the St. Louis Cardinals, holding off a late-inning surge by the home team. The Phillies built an early advantage and then withstood a three-run rally in the eighth inning to upset the favored Cardinals on their home turf.
Philadelphia opened the scoring in the second inning when Marsh crossed the plate on a throwing error by Cardinals pitcher Hunter Dobbins. Sosa then followed with a single to bring in Hill, putting the Phillies up 2-0. They extended their lead to 3-0 in the fifth as Schwarber scored on a double play. St. Louis began to chip away in the sixth inning, with Alec Burleson's single driving in both Wetherholt and Herrera. Philadelphia responded in the seventh when Schwarber doubled home Stubbs, and added two more runs in the eighth on a Sosa double that scored Crawford and Marsh, making it 6-2.
The Cardinals mounted their most significant threat in the bottom of the eighth, scoring three runs to make it a one-run game. Burleson initiated the rally with an RBI double, bringing in Herrera. Winn then doubled to right, scoring Burleson. Finally, FermΓn singled to center, allowing Walker to score and cutting the deficit to 6-5. Despite this impressive late-game offensive burst, which included their largest scoring inning of three runs, St. Louis couldn't complete the comeback. Cardinals starter Hunter Dobbins pitched effectively, allowing just one earned run over five innings while striking out six, but the Phillies' initial run off him due to an error set the tone, and their offense later found ways to extend the lead against the bullpen.
Ultimately, Philadelphia's ability to capitalize on early opportunities and build a resilient lead proved enough to fend off the Cardinals' determined late-game rally. The Phillies secured the upset victory, improving their record to 64-56, while St. Louis fell to 59-60.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the St. Louis Cardinals (-109, 50% implied) over the Philadelphia Phillies. Final: the Philadelphia Phillies won 6β5, pulling off the upset.
SportsFBI's model favored the St. Louis Cardinals (52% confidence). Final: the Philadelphia Phillies won 6β5, missing the call.
Player of the Game
Turning Point
The game turned in the 8th inning, when the St. Louis Cardinals scored 3 runs.
Pitching
| Pitcher | Team | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Painter W |
|
5.1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6.27 |
| Hunter Dobbins L |
|
5.0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3.40 |
| Alan Rangel |
|
2.2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5.88 |
| Gordon Graceffo |
|
1.2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3.26 |
| Luis Gastelum |
|
1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7.36 |
| Jonathan Bowlan S |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2.74 |
| Justin Bruihl |
|
1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3.39 |
Batting
| Batter | Team | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edmundo Sosa |
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Alec Burleson |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Kyle Schwarber |
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Bryson Stott |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Ivan Herrera |
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jose Fermin |
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Masyn Winn |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Brandon Marsh |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Justin Crawford |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Jordan Walker |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Nathan Church |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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