โ† MLB

MLB Final Intelligence

PIT 82-80
3 โ€“ 4
FINAL
CHC 89-73

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs โ€” Recap

September 12, 2026  ยท Wrigley Field  ยท View Preview

๐Ÿ“ฐGame Recap

The Chicago Cubs overcame a late-game deficit against Pittsburgh Pirates pitching, staging a two-run eighth-inning rally to secure a walk-off victory. After Pittsburgh took the lead on a three-run homer in the sixth, the home team answered back with patience at the plate in the penultimate frame, tying the game on a bases-loaded walk and taking the lead on a hit-by-pitch.

Chicago's offense initially staked an early lead with solo home runs from Busch in the first inning and Ramirez in the third, putting the home team up 2-0. For much of the game, this small margin held as Pirates starter Paul Skenes kept the Cubs at bay with a strong performance. In the top of the sixth, Ryan O'Hearn dramatically shifted the momentum for Pittsburgh, launching a three-run home run that also scored Lowe and Reynolds, giving the Pirates a 3-2 advantage.

The pivotal moment arrived in the bottom of the eighth. With Pirates starter Skenes having departed after seven strong innings, Chicago's bats came alive against the Pittsburgh bullpen. Bregman and Suzuki singled to open the inning, setting up a potential rally. A subsequent walk to Ramirez loaded the bases, bringing Shaw to the plate, who then drew a bases-loaded walk, evening the score as Ramirez crossed home. The very next batter, Hoerner, was hit by a pitch with the bases still loaded, forcing in Bregman for the winning run and completing the Cubs' comeback.

Ultimately, the Chicago Cubs prevailed due to their clutch plate discipline and ability to generate offense in critical late-game situations, despite a strong outing from Pittsburgh's starting pitcher. Their two-run rally in the eighth inning, without recording a hit, proved to be the decisive factor. The Cubs now stand at 83-66, while the Pirates fall to 74-75, an outcome that aligned with SportsFBI's pregame model favoring Chicago.

#MLB #ChicagoCubs #PittsburghPirates #RyanO'Hearn #PaulSkenes

How the Prediction Fared

โœ“ Favorite Won

Pregame, the market favored the Chicago Cubs (-125, 53% implied) over the Pittsburgh Pirates. Final: the Chicago Cubs won 4โ€“3.

โœ“ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model favored the Chicago Cubs (63% confidence). Final: the Chicago Cubs won 4โ€“3.

Player of the Game

Ryan O'Hearn
At the Plate
4 AB, 1 H, 1 HR, 3 RBI
Paul Skenes
On the Mound
7.0 IP, 4 K, 2 ER

Linescore

123456789 RHE
PIT 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 3 60
CHC 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 โ€” 4 51

Turning Point

The game turned in the 6th inning, when the Pittsburgh Pirates scored 3 runs.

Pitching

Pitcher Team IP H R ER BB K ERA
Paul Skenes 7.0 4 2 2 1 4 3.78
Clay Holmes 5.2 5 3 2 4 6 2.85
Ryan Rolison W 1.2 1 0 0 0 0 2.76
Jacob Webb 1.1 0 0 0 1 1 3.29
Gregory Soto L 1.0 1 2 2 2 2 3.32
Ryan Zeferjahn S 0.1 0 0 0 0 1 4.15

Batting

Batter Team AB H HR RBI R BB K
Pedro Ramirez 3 2 1 1 2 0 0
Ryan O'Hearn 4 1 1 3 1 0 1
Michael Busch 3 1 1 1 1 0 1
Nico Hoerner 3 1 0 1 0 0 0
Alex Bregman 2 1 0 0 1 0 0
Brandon Lowe 4 1 0 0 1 1 1
Bryan Reynolds 5 1 0 0 1 0 2
Jacob Gonzalez 2 1 0 0 0 1 0
Rafael Flores Jr. 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Spencer Horwitz 3 1 0 0 0 1 1

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