MLB Final Intelligence
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs โ Recap
September 12, 2026 ยท Wrigley Field ยท View Preview
Game Recap
The Chicago Cubs overcame a late-game deficit against Pittsburgh Pirates pitching, staging a two-run eighth-inning rally to secure a walk-off victory. After Pittsburgh took the lead on a three-run homer in the sixth, the home team answered back with patience at the plate in the penultimate frame, tying the game on a bases-loaded walk and taking the lead on a hit-by-pitch.
Chicago's offense initially staked an early lead with solo home runs from Busch in the first inning and Ramirez in the third, putting the home team up 2-0. For much of the game, this small margin held as Pirates starter Paul Skenes kept the Cubs at bay with a strong performance. In the top of the sixth, Ryan O'Hearn dramatically shifted the momentum for Pittsburgh, launching a three-run home run that also scored Lowe and Reynolds, giving the Pirates a 3-2 advantage.
The pivotal moment arrived in the bottom of the eighth. With Pirates starter Skenes having departed after seven strong innings, Chicago's bats came alive against the Pittsburgh bullpen. Bregman and Suzuki singled to open the inning, setting up a potential rally. A subsequent walk to Ramirez loaded the bases, bringing Shaw to the plate, who then drew a bases-loaded walk, evening the score as Ramirez crossed home. The very next batter, Hoerner, was hit by a pitch with the bases still loaded, forcing in Bregman for the winning run and completing the Cubs' comeback.
Ultimately, the Chicago Cubs prevailed due to their clutch plate discipline and ability to generate offense in critical late-game situations, despite a strong outing from Pittsburgh's starting pitcher. Their two-run rally in the eighth inning, without recording a hit, proved to be the decisive factor. The Cubs now stand at 83-66, while the Pirates fall to 74-75, an outcome that aligned with SportsFBI's pregame model favoring Chicago.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the Chicago Cubs (-125, 53% implied) over the Pittsburgh Pirates. Final: the Chicago Cubs won 4โ3.
SportsFBI's model favored the Chicago Cubs (63% confidence). Final: the Chicago Cubs won 4โ3.
Player of the Game
Turning Point
The game turned in the 6th inning, when the Pittsburgh Pirates scored 3 runs.
Pitching
| Pitcher | Team | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Skenes |
|
7.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3.78 |
| Clay Holmes |
|
5.2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2.85 |
| Ryan Rolison W |
|
1.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.76 |
| Jacob Webb |
|
1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3.29 |
| Gregory Soto L |
|
1.0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3.32 |
| Ryan Zeferjahn S |
|
0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4.15 |
Batting
| Batter | Team | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Ramirez |
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan O'Hearn |
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Michael Busch |
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Nico Hoerner |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alex Bregman |
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon Lowe |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Bryan Reynolds |
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Jacob Gonzalez |
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Rafael Flores Jr. |
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Spencer Horwitz |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
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