โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

PIT vs
NYY

Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Yankees

July 21, 2026 ยท 7:05 PM ET ยท Yankee Stadium
PIT 82-80  ยท  NYY 93-68

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Pittsburgh Pirates
Confidence 61%
Projected Score PIT 6 ยท NYY 4
Blowout Probability 7%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

NYY Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Key injuries PIT (Oneil Cruz) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PIT SP quality edge (FIP 4.28 vs 5.07, PF 1.06) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PIT Recent run diff (+1.2 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PIT Line move (3pp sharp) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PIT Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

PIT โ€” Away RHP
Bubba Chandler
Bubba Chandler
ERA4.62
WHIP1.40
FIP4.11
K/98.2
K/BB3.5
Road ERA: 4.98
vs
NYY โ€” Home RHP
Will Warren
Will Warren
ERA3.92
WHIP1.36
FIP3.86
K/99.1
K/BB6.0
Home ERA: 3.99

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

PIT Away NYY Home
Bullpen FIP 3.99 4.52
Run Diff / 10G +1.8 +0.6
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 2

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
PIT +1.5 (-180)
NYY -1.5 (+148)
Total (O/U)
Over 9.5 (-105)
Under 9.5 (-114)
Moneyline
PIT +109
NYY -131

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

PIT โ€” Away
Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
78 ยท OVER
Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
73 ยท OVER
Ryan O'Hearn Ryan O'Hearn
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
73 ยท OVER
Jake Mangum Jake Mangum
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
70 ยท OVER
NYY โ€” Home
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
78 ยท OVER
Ben Rice Ben Rice
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
78 ยท OVER
Cody Bellinger Cody Bellinger
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
77 ยท OVER
Austin Wells Austin Wells
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
76 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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