โ† MLB

MLB Final Intelligence

SD 73-67
1 โ€“ 5
FINAL
ARI 74-67

San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks โ€” Recap

August 3, 2026  ยท Chase Field  ยท View Preview

๐Ÿ“ฐGame Recap

The Arizona Diamondbacks delivered a convincing performance, stifling the San Diego Padres' offense en route to a 5-1 victory. Despite being slight pregame underdogs, the Diamondbacks asserted their dominance through a combination of powerful hitting and exceptional pitching, making the SportsFBI model's favoring of Arizona look prescient.

Scoring remained elusive for both teams through the initial innings. Arizona broke the scoreless tie in the bottom of the fourth when Tim Tawa launched a three-run home run to left field, bringing Marte and Del Castillo home. San Diego finally responded in the top of the seventh, as Campusano reached on an infield single and France scored on a throwing error by third baseman Arenado.

Tawa's 404-foot blast in the fourth inning served as the pivotal moment, establishing a lead that the Padres never threatened to overcome. This offensive spark was complemented by a standout pitching effort from Brandon Pfaadt, who navigated 6.2 scoreless innings while striking out three. Pfaadt's command ensured San Diego struggled to create legitimate scoring opportunities, with their lone run being unearned due to an error.

Ultimately, Arizona's ability to capitalize on its offensive chances, highlighted by Tawa's big swing and further insurance runs in the eighth from McCann and Barrosa, combined with Pfaadt's masterful outing, secured the win. The Diamondbacks now stand at 60-53, while the Padres' record moves to 58-55.

#MLB #Diamondbacks #Padres #TimTawa #BrandonPfaadt

How the Prediction Fared

โšก Upset

Pregame, the market favored the San Diego Padres (-112, 51% implied) over the Arizona Diamondbacks. Final: the Arizona Diamondbacks won 5โ€“1, pulling off the upset.

โœ“ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model favored the Arizona Diamondbacks (64% confidence). Final: the Arizona Diamondbacks won 5โ€“1.

Player of the Game

Tim Tawa
At the Plate
4 AB, 3 H, 1 HR, 3 RBI
Brandon Pfaadt
On the Mound
6.2 IP, 3 K, 0 ER

Linescore

123456789 RHE
SD 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 61
ARI 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 2 โ€” 5 91

Turning Point

The game turned in the 4th inning, when the Arizona Diamondbacks scored 3 runs.

Pitching

Pitcher Team IP H R ER BB K ERA
Brandon Pfaadt W 6.2 5 1 0 1 3 3.66
Michael King L 5.0 5 3 3 4 5 3.45
Juan Morillo 1.1 1 0 0 0 2 2.54
Yuki Matsui 1.1 1 0 0 1 2 2.30
Brandyn Garcia 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 2.03
Wandy Peralta 1.0 3 2 2 0 0 3.47
Jeremiah Estrada 0.2 0 0 0 0 0 3.80

Batting

Batter Team AB H HR RBI R BB K
Tim Tawa 4 3 1 3 2 0 0
James McCann 4 2 0 1 0 0 1
Geraldo Perdomo 3 2 0 0 0 1 1
Luis Campusano 3 2 0 0 0 0 0
Adrian Del Castillo 3 1 0 0 1 0 0
Nolan Arenado 3 1 0 0 1 1 1
Jackson Merrill 4 1 0 0 0 0 0
Luis Rengifo 4 1 0 0 0 0 0
Sung-Mun Song 3 1 0 0 0 0 0
Xander Bogaerts 3 1 0 0 0 0 1

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