MLB Final Intelligence
San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies โ Recap
September 17, 2026 ยท Coors Field ยท View Preview
Game Recap
The San Diego Padres quickly erased an early deficit, erupting for seven runs in the second inning en route to a decisive 9-2 victory over the Colorado Rockies. After trailing by a run, San Diego's offense exploded, putting the game out of reach early.
Colorado initially took the lead in the bottom of the first when Norby singled to center, driving in McCarthy. However, the Padres wasted no time responding. Xander Bogaerts launched a solo home run to left field to tie the game in the top of the second, igniting the San Diego lineup. Later in the inning, Harris's single brought home Cronenworth and Taylor, followed by Machado's sacrifice fly scoring Tatis Jr. Merrill then cleared the bases with a two-run triple, and Bogaerts capped off the massive inning with another triple, scoring Merrill. San Diego added two more runs in the fifth on a Taylor double and a Harris single. Colorado managed one more run in the sixth on Karros's single.
The Padres' seven-run explosion in the second inning proved to be the pivotal moment, transforming a one-run deficit into a commanding 7-1 lead. Xander Bogaerts was at the heart of this surge, hitting a leadoff home run and later a triple in the same inning, driving in two runs himself to highlight his three-hit performance. On the mound, Michael King delivered a strong outing for San Diego, allowing just two earned runs over six innings while striking out six, effectively shutting down Colorado after the initial run. This dominant performance by the Padres, particularly in the second, confirmed pregame analytics that had favored San Diego.
San Diego's relentless offense, particularly its second-inning power surge, provided an insurmountable lead that the Rockies could not overcome. The Padres earned their 84th win against 69 losses, while the Rockies fell to 56-97.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the San Diego Padres (-194, 63% implied) over the Colorado Rockies. Final: the San Diego Padres won 9โ2.
SportsFBI's model favored the San Diego Padres (72% confidence). Final: the San Diego Padres won 9โ2.
Player of the Game
Turning Point
The game turned in the 2nd inning, when the San Diego Padres scored 7 runs.
Pitching
| Pitcher | Team | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael King W |
|
6.0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3.03 |
| Tanner Gordon L |
|
3.0 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 6.01 |
| Zach Agnos |
|
3.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6.00 |
| Griffin Canning |
|
2.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5.66 |
| Brennan Bernardino |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2.83 |
| Jaden Hill |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.65 |
| Jordan Romano |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4.99 |
| Yuki Matsui |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1.92 |
Batting
| Batter | Team | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xander Bogaerts |
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Dustin Harris |
|
5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Ty France |
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Samad Taylor |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Brett Sullivan |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mickey Moniak |
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jake Cronenworth |
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jackson Merrill |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Connor Norby |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Kyle Karros |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Cole Carrigg |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Jake McCarthy |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| TJ Rumfield |
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
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