โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

STL vs
CIN

St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds

May 22, 2026 ยท 6:40 PM ET ยท Great American Ball Park
STL 77-85  ยท  CIN 75-87

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† St. Louis Cardinals
Confidence 59%
Projected Score STL 6 ยท CIN 4
Blowout Probability 6%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

CIN Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Key injuries CIN (Chase Burns) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL SP quality edge (FIP 3.67 vs 4.58, PF 1.12) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CIN Recent run diff (+1.9 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

STL โ€” Away RHP
Kyle Leahy
Kyle Leahy
ERA3.66
WHIP1.34
FIP3.49
K/98.5
K/BB5.9
Road ERA: 4.00
vs
CIN โ€” Home RightHP
Chris Paddack
Chris Paddack
ERA6.79
WHIP1.67
FIP4.75
K/96.3
K/BB3.3

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

STL Away CIN Home
Bullpen FIP 3.97 5.25
Run Diff / 10G -0.9 +1.0
Days Rest 0 1
Streak -4 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
STL -1.5 (+153)
CIN +1.5 (-186)
Total (O/U)
Over 9.5 (-108)
Under 9.5 (-111)
Moneyline
STL +101
CIN -122

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

Launch Workspace Back to MLB