MLB Final Intelligence
Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles β Recap
August 22, 2026 Β· Oriole Park at Camden Yards Β· View Preview
Game Recap
The Baltimore Orioles staged a late-game rally against the favored Tampa Bay Rays on Thursday, overcoming a two-run deficit to secure a dramatic extra-inning victory. This upset came despite a strong outing from Tampa Bay's ace, highlighting Baltimore's resilience in a tight contest.
The Rays initially took the lead in the second inning when Hicks launched a solo home run to right field. They extended their advantage in the sixth, as Caminero singled to center, allowing DΓaz to score and putting Tampa Bay up by two runs. Rays starter Shane McClanahan kept the Orioles offense quiet, striking out five batters across five scoreless innings of work.
The gameβs pivotal moment arrived in the bottom of the eighth inning. Samuel Basallo delivered a clutch two-run home run to center field, scoring Holliday ahead of him and leveling the score at two runs apiece. This erased the lead that Tampa Bay had meticulously built. Baltimore then completed the comeback in the bottom of the tenth, with Beavers hitting a walk-off double to right, bringing home Taveras.
Baltimoreβs ability to strike late and capitalize on their opportunities proved to be the decisive factor against a strong opponent. The Orioles, who were favored by SportsFBIβs pregame model despite the market favoring Tampa Bay, advanced to a 63-67 record, while the Rays fell to 76-53.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the Tampa Bay Rays (-131, 54% implied) over the Baltimore Orioles. Final: the Baltimore Orioles won 3β2, pulling off the upset.
SportsFBI's model favored the Baltimore Orioles (52% confidence). Final: the Baltimore Orioles won 3β2.
Player of the Game
Pitching
| Pitcher | Team | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Young |
|
5.2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3.50 |
| Shane McClanahan |
|
5.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3.10 |
| Tyler Wells |
|
2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2.70 |
| Alex Hoppe |
|
1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.67 |
| Garrett Cleavinger |
|
1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3.72 |
| Andrew Kittredge |
|
1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.43 |
| Josh Walker |
|
1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2.55 |
| Rico Garcia W |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.23 |
| Kevin Kelly |
|
0.2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2.15 |
Batting
| Batter | Team | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coby Mayo |
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Pete Alonso |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jonny DeLuca |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Yandy Diaz |
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Samuel Basallo |
|
1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Liam Hicks |
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Dylan Beavers |
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Junior Caminero |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Gunnar Henderson |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jackson Holliday |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Cedric Mullins |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Chandler Simpson |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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