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MLB Final Intelligence

TB 83-56
2 – 1
FINAL
SEA 66-74

Tampa Bay Rays vs Seattle Mariners β€” Recap

August 7, 2026  Β· T-Mobile Park  Β· View Preview

πŸ“°Game Recap

The Tampa Bay Rays secured a tight 2-1 road victory over the Seattle Mariners on Thursday, leaning on stellar pitching and timely solo home runs to upset the favored home team. Despite the pregame market favoring Seattle, the Rays' pitching staff kept the Mariners offense at bay for most of the contest, making a pair of early blasts stand up as the difference.

Tampa Bay broke the scoreless tie in the second inning when DeLuca homered to center field. Jonathan Aranda then extended the lead to 2-0 with another solo shot, this one to right field in the third. Seattle’s offense remained quiet until the bottom of the ninth, when RodrΓ­guez connected for a solo home run to left, cutting the deficit to a single run.

The Rays' slim advantage was largely preserved by Drew Rasmussen, who delivered a masterful performance on the mound. Rasmussen dominated the Mariners' lineup for seven scoreless innings, striking out eight batters and allowing no earned runs. His extended, stingy outing ensured that Seattle remained off the scoreboard for the vast majority of the game, making Tampa Bay's early solo home runs the decisive factors in the low-scoring affair.

Ultimately, Tampa Bay's pitching staff proved resilient, successfully navigating the late innings to secure the narrow road win and handing Seattle a frustrating defeat at home. The Rays now stand at 69-46, while the Mariners fall to 56-61.

#MLB #Rays #Mariners #DrewRasmussen #JonathanAranda

How the Prediction Fared

⚑ Upset

Pregame, the market favored the Seattle Mariners (-118, 52% implied) over the Tampa Bay Rays. Final: the Tampa Bay Rays won 2–1, pulling off the upset.

⚑ Model Missed

SportsFBI's model favored the Seattle Mariners (52% confidence). Final: the Tampa Bay Rays won 2–1, missing the call (based on projected lineups, not yet confirmed when the model ran).

Player of the Game

Julio Rodriguez
At the Plate
4 AB, 2 H, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Drew Rasmussen
On the Mound
7.0 IP, 8 K, 0 ER

Linescore

123456789 RHE
TB 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 60
SEA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 40

Pitching

Pitcher Team IP H R ER BB K ERA
Drew Rasmussen W 7.0 2 0 0 2 8 2.75
Logan Gilbert L 6.2 4 2 2 4 6 3.42
Jose Ferrer 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 3.28
Seranthony Dominguez 1.0 1 0 0 1 2 4.76
Bryan Baker S 1.0 1 1 1 0 3 1.59
Kevin Kelly 0.2 0 0 0 0 1 2.05
Eduard Bazardo 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 3.44
Garrett Cleavinger 0.1 1 0 0 0 0 3.09

Batting

Batter Team AB H HR RBI R BB K
Julio Rodriguez 4 2 1 1 1 0 2
Jonathan Aranda 4 2 1 1 1 0 1
Victor Mesa Jr. 4 2 0 0 0 0 1
Jonny DeLuca 4 1 1 1 1 0 3
Cole Young 4 1 0 0 0 0 1
Colt Emerson 3 1 0 0 0 0 2
Liam Hicks 3 1 0 0 0 0 0

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