MLB Final Intelligence
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks โ Recap
August 7, 2026 ยท Chase Field ยท View Preview
Game Recap
The Arizona Diamondbacks staged a dramatic comeback, securing a walk-off 4-3 victory over the Los Angeles Dodgers. Ryan Waldschmidt delivered the decisive blow, launching a two-run home run in the bottom of the ninth inning to erase a late deficit and stun the favored Dodgers. This single swing completed an unlikely upset, with Arizona having trailed by a run entering the final frame.
Arizona initially built a lead, beginning with Arenado's solo home run to left in the second inning. Perdomo extended their advantage in the fifth, tripling to center to drive in Tawa and make it 2-0. The Dodgers started to chip away in the sixth when Freeman grounded into a fielder's choice, allowing Feduccia to score. Los Angeles then drew even in the seventh as Edman singled to center, bringing home Betts. Pages put the Dodgers ahead for the first time in the top of the eighth with a 425-foot solo shot to left center.
Despite Roki Sasaki's solid outing for the Dodgers, where he pitched 6.0 innings and yielded just two earned runs, it was not enough to secure a win. The pivotal moment arrived in the bottom of the ninth, when the Diamondbacks, trailing 3-2, saw Waldschmidt connect for a 411-foot two-run blast to center field, scoring Barrosa ahead of him. This clutch hit negated Los Angeles' late lead, a lead that had made them appear poised for victory after overcoming their initial deficit. The pregame market had heavily favored the Dodgers, and even SportsFBI's model, despite noting a key injury to Freddie Freeman for Los Angeles, had backed them, making Arizona's last-gasp triumph a significant upset.
Ultimately, Arizona's resilience and Waldschmidt's game-winning heroics proved decisive in securing the hard-fought victory. The Diamondbacks now hold a 62-55 record, while the Dodgers stand at 69-47.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the Los Angeles Dodgers (-175, 61% implied) over the Arizona Diamondbacks. Final: the Arizona Diamondbacks won 4โ3, pulling off the upset.
SportsFBI's model favored the Los Angeles Dodgers (62% confidence). Final: the Arizona Diamondbacks won 4โ3, missing the call (based on projected lineups, not yet confirmed when the model ran).
Player of the Game
Pitching
| Pitcher | Team | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roki Sasaki |
|
6.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4.54 |
| Merrill Kelly |
|
5.2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4.88 |
| Brandyn Garcia |
|
1.2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2.20 |
| Kevin Ginkel W |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3.67 |
| Edgardo Henriquez |
|
1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3.13 |
| Tanner Scott |
|
1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2.33 |
| Juan Morillo |
|
0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2.47 |
| Taylor Clarke |
|
0.1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2.24 |
| Edwin Diaz L |
|
0.1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11.00 |
Batting
| Batter | Team | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geraldo Perdomo |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tommy Edman |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Ryan Waldschmidt |
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Nolan Arenado |
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Andy Pages |
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Gabriel Moreno |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lars Nootbaar |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tim Tawa |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Hunter Feduccia |
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyle Tucker |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Miguel Rojas |
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mookie Betts |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
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