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MLB Final Intelligence

TOR 79-83
3 – 4
FINAL
BAL 79-82

Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles β€” Recap

September 21, 2026  Β· Oriole Park at Camden Yards  Β· View Preview

πŸ“°Game Recap

The Baltimore Orioles staged a determined comeback, overcoming an early three-run deficit against the Toronto Blue Jays, with designated hitter Pete Alonso’s two home runs proving pivotal in the victory. After falling behind quickly, Baltimore methodically chipped away at Toronto’s lead before a late-game power surge sealed the win for the home team.

Toronto started strong in the opening frame, taking an immediate 3-0 lead. Lukes singled to left, bringing Bateman home, and Kirk advanced to second. Springer followed with another single, scoring Kirk and moving Lukes to third, before Keys hit a sacrifice fly to right field, allowing Lukes to score. However, Baltimore responded swiftly when Alonso launched a solo shot to right field in the bottom half of the inning, cutting the deficit. Another solo home run in the sixth inning by Henderson further narrowed the gap, bringing the Orioles within a single run.

Despite surrendering the three runs in the first, Orioles starter Shane Baz settled in, navigating 6.2 innings and keeping his team within striking distance. The decisive blow came in the bottom of the eighth when Alonso connected for his second home run of the game, a two-run blast to left field that also scored Franklin, giving the Orioles their first lead of the night. This late rally underscored Baltimore’s ability to capitalize on key opportunities, ultimately nullifying Toronto's strong start.

Baltimore’s resilience, powered by the long ball, allowed them to erase an early deficit and secure a hard-fought victory. The Blue Jays now stand at 77-80, while the Orioles improved their record to 76-81.

#MLB #BlueJays #Orioles #PeteAlonso

How the Prediction Fared

βœ“ Favorite Won

Pregame, the market favored the Baltimore Orioles (-112, 50% implied) over the Toronto Blue Jays. Final: the Baltimore Orioles won 4–3.

βœ“ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model favored the Baltimore Orioles (63% confidence). Final: the Baltimore Orioles won 4–3.

Player of the Game

Pete Alonso
At the Plate
4 AB, 2 H, 2 HR, 3 RBI
Shane Baz
On the Mound
6.2 IP, 2 K, 3 ER

Linescore

123456789 RHE
TOR 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 60
BAL 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 β€” 4 60

Turning Point

The game turned in the 1st inning, when the Toronto Blue Jays scored 3 runs.

Pitching

Pitcher Team IP H R ER BB K ERA
Shane Baz 6.2 5 3 3 3 2 4.11
Chad Dallas 2.2 1 1 1 1 4 5.54
Trey Yesavage 2.0 1 1 1 0 3 3.67
Yennier Cano W 1.1 1 0 0 0 1 2.92
Brendan Cellucci 1.1 1 0 0 0 3 0.00
Rico Garcia S 1.0 0 0 0 0 2 3.14
Jose Rodriguez 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 0.00
Mason Fluharty 0.2 0 1 1 1 0 3.39
Tyler Rogers L 0.1 2 1 1 0 0 1.80

Batting

Batter Team AB H HR RBI R BB K
Gunnar Henderson 4 3 1 1 1 0 0
Pete Alonso 4 2 2 3 2 0 1
George Springer 4 2 0 1 0 0 1
Nathan Lukes 3 1 0 1 1 1 0
Christian Encarnacion-Strand 3 1 0 0 0 0 0
Alejandro Kirk 3 1 0 0 1 1 0
Andres Gimenez 3 1 0 0 0 0 0
Kazuma Okamoto 4 1 0 0 0 0 1

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