Suns vs Rockets

📝Matchup Preview

Phoenix Suns visit Houston Rockets for a regular-season matchup.

Phoenix Suns's availability report lists Mark Williams (Out). These designations describe availability, not a confirmed starting five.

Adjusted team strength shifts the assessment toward Houston Rockets. The team-strength comparison weighs possession efficiency, opponent quality and recent performance, with early-season estimates pulled toward the available prior-season baseline.

SportsFBI gives Houston Rockets a 60% estimated win probability. This estimate is based on team and situational inputs, rather than a two-sided sportsbook moneyline.

Projected score: PHX 109, HOU 112

Model probability of a margin of 20 or more points: 12%

🏆 SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner 🏆 Houston Rockets

Confidence 60%

Projected Score HOU 112 · PHX 109

Blowout Probability 12%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's NBA matchup engine — not a guarantee. Blowout means a 20+ point margin.

⚖️ Game Edges

Key factors driving this matchup

HOUH Adjusted team strength +3.5 Strong

HOU adjusted net 3.57 vs PHX 0.07 per 100 possessions. Expected possessions: 98.82.

HOUH Offensive matchup +2.2 Weak

HOU expected offense vs opposing defense 113.88; PHX 110.37 points per 100 possessions.

HOUH Defensive matchup +1.3 Weak

HOU adjusted defense 111.11; PHX 112.39 points allowed per 100 possessions.

PHXA Star availability +0.25 Weak

Luke Kennard (Day-To-Day): 0.0 expected minutes lost; impact rating 0.96 per 100 possessions; Mark Williams (Out): 5.9 expected minutes lost; impact rating -1.83 per 100 possessions; Oso Ighodaro (Day-To-Day): 1.8 expected minutes lost; impact rating -0.80 per 100 possessions