NBA Final Intelligence

98 – 93

FINAL

Boston Celtics 98, Toronto Raptors 93 — Recap

November 11, 2026 · Recap published November 11, 2026 · View Preview

📰Game Recap

The Toronto Raptors seized early control of the contest, outscoring the Boston Celtics 38-29 in the opening period behind perimeter shooting from Ja'Kobe Walter and Allen Graves. Toronto sustained its advantage into the second quarter, edging Boston 23-25 to build a halftime cushion despite Boston's offensive push.

Boston began chipping away after intermission, taking the third quarter 21-19 as Jayson Tatum and Derrick White engineered the Celtics' execution. The momentum fully shifted in the final frame where Boston's defense and scoring overwhelmed Toronto, limiting the Raptors to 13 points while producing 23 of their own to complete the comeback.

Tatum paced the winners with 24 points, eight assists, and seven rebounds, while White added 19 points and seven assists. Walter led Toronto with 17 points anchored by five three-pointers, and Graves contributed 13 points and five boards in the narrow defeat.

#Celtics #Raptors #NBA #Basketball

How the Prediction Fared

✓ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the Boston Celtics (59% confidence). It gave a 12% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 5 points.

💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Spread · BOS -5.5 TOR covered Won by 5

Total · 216.5 Under 191 combined

Moneyline BOS -210 · TOR +176 BOS favored

Line movementOpening line → close

Spread (TOR) +6.5+5.5 -1

Total 216.5216.5 No move

Moneyline (TOR) +194+176 -18

Standouts

Top Scorer · BOS

Jayson Tatum

24 PTS, 7 REB, 8 AST, 2 3PM · 6-21 FG

Scoring · BOS

Derrick White

19 PTS, 1 REB, 7 AST, 3 3PM · 7-15 FG

Scoring · TOR

Ja'Kobe Walter

17 PTS, 3 REB, 1 AST, 5 3PM · 5-11 FG

Season highs

Neemias Queta · Season-high 13 rebounds

Every player's line is in the box score below; the play-by-play is available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

📊 Game Flow

BOS 4 largest lead Q1 10:24 (BOS 6, TOR 2) · 16-0 run, Q2 5:10–Q2 2:40

TOR 22 largest lead Q2 5:24 (BOS 37, TOR 59) · 10-0 run, Q2 10:41–Q2 9:15

Swings 12 lead changes Tied 5 times

Ahead for good: Jayson Tatum makes free throw 2 of 2 (Q4 0:25, BOS 94, TOR 93).

Clutch timeEvery score of the final five minutes

Q4 4:34 Jayson Tatum makes free throw 1 of 2BOS · BOS 85, TOR 89
Q4 4:11 Jordan Walsh makes 2-foot running dunk (Jayson Tatum assists)BOS · BOS 68, TOR 67
Q4 2:47 Neemias Queta makes free throw 2 of 2BOS · BOS 88, TOR 89
Q4 1:55 Jayson Tatum makes 12-foot two point shot (Derrick White assists)BOS · BOS 90, TOR 89
Q4 1:39 RJ Barrett makes 8-foot driving floating jump shot (Jakob Poeltl assists)TOR · BOS 90, TOR 91
Q4 1:14 RJ Barrett makes 2-foot running dunk (Jamal Shead assists)TOR · BOS 90, TOR 93
Q4 0:54 Neemias Queta makes 2-foot dunk (Jayson Tatum assists)BOS · BOS 92, TOR 93
Q4 0:25 Jayson Tatum makes free throw 1 of 2BOS · BOS 93, TOR 93
Q4 0:25 Jayson Tatum makes free throw 2 of 2BOS · BOS 94, TOR 93
Q4 0:15 Neemias Queta makes free throw 1 of 2BOS · BOS 95, TOR 93
Q4 0:15 Neemias Queta makes free throw 2 of 2BOS · BOS 96, TOR 93

Linescore

	1	2	3	4		T
BOS	29	25	21	23		98
TOR	38	23	19	13		93

🧮 How They Scored

BOSTOR

Four factorsHighlighted side won the factor

50.7%Effective FG%47.1%

17.4%Turnover %13.1%

23.1%Offensive rebound %25.0%

0.384Free-throw rate0.212

Box Score

Boston Celtics

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
Derrick White G	38	19	1	7	1	4	2	7-15	3-7	2-2	+18
Jayson Tatum F	38	24	7	8	0	2	2	6-21	2-11	10-12	+9
Payton Pritchard G	31	14	1	1	0	0	5	5-13	2-7	2-2	-17
Neemias Queta C	31	11	13	3	1	3	5	2-4	1-1	6-8	+27
Baylor Scheierman G	29	9	7	3	2	1	0	3-5	3-5	0-0	+18
Sam Hauser F	24	8	9	0	2	0	1	2-6	2-4	2-2	+1
Jordan Walsh G	18	6	3	0	1	0	1	3-4	0-1	0-0	+3
Mitchell Robinson C	11	2	2	0	0	0	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	-17
Luka Garza C	11	5	1	0	0	0	0	1-3	1-3	2-2	-5
Hugo González G	8	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	-12

Toronto Raptors

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
Ja'Kobe Walter G	35	17	3	1	2	0	1	5-11	5-10	2-2	-16
Jakob Poeltl C	32	6	9	1	0	1	3	3-5	0-0	0-0	-18
RJ Barrett F-G	32	12	8	7	2	1	2	5-16	0-2	2-2	-22
Immanuel Quickley G	28	11	4	4	1	0	2	3-14	1-8	4-4	-13
Jamison Battle F	25	12	2	0	1	0	1	4-7	2-5	2-2	+10
Jamal Shead G	22	3	3	6	1	0	2	1-6	0-4	1-2	+6
Collin Murray-Boyles F	21	5	4	3	0	1	2	1-9	1-5	2-4	-3
Allen Graves F	18	13	5	0	0	0	0	5-8	3-4	0-0	+4
Alijah Martin G	16	12	1	0	2	0	1	4-5	4-5	0-0	+13
Kyle Anderson F	11	2	3	4	0	1	0	1-4	0-0	0-2	+14

🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines

Player	Prop	Line	Actual	Result
Jayson Tatum BOS	Points	26.5	24	Under
	Rebounds	7.5	7	Under
	Assists	6.5	8	Over
	3-pointers	2.5	2	Under
	Pts + Reb	34.5	31	Under
	Reb + Ast	14.5	15	Over
	Pts + Reb + Ast	41.5	39	Under
Derrick White BOS	Points	14.5	19	Over
	Rebounds	3.5	1	Under
	Assists	4.5	7	Over
	3-pointers	1.5	3	Over
	Reb + Ast	8.5	8	Under
	Pts + Reb + Ast	23.5	27	Over
Ja'Kobe Walter TOR	Points	12.5	17	Over
	Rebounds	3.5	3	Under
	3-pointers	2.5	5	Over
	Pts + Reb	16.5	20	Over
	Pts + Reb + Ast	18.5	21	Over
Payton Pritchard BOS	Points	15.5	14	Under
	Rebounds	3.5	1	Under
	Assists	4.5	1	Under
	3-pointers	2.5	2	Under
	Reb + Ast	7.5	2	Under
	Pts + Reb + Ast	23.5	16	Under
Jamison Battle TOR	Points	7.5	12	Over
	3-pointers	1.5	2	Over
Immanuel Quickley TOR	Points	17.5	11	Under
	Rebounds	3.5	4	Over
	Assists	5.5	4	Under
	3-pointers	2.5	1	Under
	Reb + Ast	9.5	8	Under
	Pts + Reb + Ast	26.5	19	Under