NBA Final Intelligence

DAL 0-0
110 – 128
FINAL
HOU 0-0

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets β€” Recap

October 21, 2026  Β· View Preview

πŸ“°Game Recap

The Houston Rockets established early control before unleashing a dominant second quarter that ultimately sealed their 128-110 victory over the Dallas Mavericks. After a closely contested opening period that saw Houston leading 32-26, the Rockets exploded in the second quarter, outscoring Dallas by a significant 38-12 margin to take a commanding lead into halftime. Though the Mavericks battled back in the second half, winning both the third and fourth quarters, their efforts were insufficient to overcome the early deficit. SportsFBI's model had indicated a 70% probability of a Houston win, aligning with the outcome.

Houston's offensive prowess was on full display, particularly through the collective efforts of Kevin Durant, Jabari Smith Jr., and Alperen Sengun. Durant and Smith Jr. each contributed 30 points, with Smith Jr. adding four three-pointers on 11-of-18 shooting, while Durant hit two threes on 10-of-16 shooting and grabbed six rebounds. Sengun complemented their scoring with a double-double of 23 points and 10 rebounds, along with five assists and two three-pointers, on 9-of-15 shooting. This balanced attack allowed the Rockets to maintain their substantial advantage throughout the contest.

Dallas saw a standout performance from Cooper Flagg, who led all scorers with 32 points on 10-of-17 shooting, adding five rebounds and two assists. Marcus Sasser provided an efficient spark off the bench, tallying 17 points with four three-pointers on 6-of-8 shooting. The Mavericks showed resilience after halftime, outscoring the Rockets 38-30 in the third quarter and 34-28 in the fourth, but the 26-point deficit created in the second period proved too large to surmount despite their persistent push.

#HoustonRockets #DallasMavericks #NBA #KevinDurant #CooperFlagg

How the Prediction Fared

βœ“ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the Houston Rockets (70% confidence). It gave a 16% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 18 points.

Standouts

Top Scorer Β· DAL
Cooper Flagg
32 PTS, 5 REB, 2 AST, 1 3PM Β· 10-17 FG
Scoring Β· HOU
Kevin Durant
30 PTS, 6 REB, 3 AST, 2 3PM Β· 10-16 FG
Scoring Β· HOU
Jabari Smith Jr.
30 PTS, 5 REB, 1 AST, 4 3PM Β· 11-18 FG

Full box score, every player's line and the play-by-play are available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

Linescore

1234 T
DAL 26123834 110
HOU 32383028 128

πŸ” Key Suspects Results

4 of 8 graded picks hit. Pushes and voided picks are not counted.

DAL — Away
P.J. Washington F Threes 1.5 UNDER MISS Actual 2
Max Christie G Threes 1.5 OVER MISS Actual 1
HOU — Home
Reed Sheppard G Points 8.5 OVER MISS Actual 3
Amen Thompson G-F Rebounds 8 HIT Actual 10
Jabari Smith Jr. F Assists 1.5 OVER MISS Actual 1
Marcus Smart G Points 6.5 OVER HIT Actual 10
Kevin Durant F Points 23.5 OVER HIT Actual 30
Alperen Sengun F-C Assists 4.5 OVER HIT Actual 5

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