NBA Final Intelligence

GSW 0-3
134 – 114
FINAL
DEN 1-1

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets β€” Recap

October 26, 2026  Β· View Preview

πŸ“°Game Recap

The Golden State Warriors overcame an early deficit to defeat the Denver Nuggets 134-114, sparked by a dominant performance from Yaxel Lendeborg and efficient shooting from Stephen Curry. Lendeborg finished with 31 points, 12 rebounds, and six assists, including one successful three-pointer on 9-of-19 shooting from the field. Curry added 24 points on a perfect 8-of-8 shooting, including three successful attempts from beyond the arc, along with three rebounds and three assists. The outcome diverged from pregame analytics, which had indicated a 65% probability for a Denver victory.

Denver began the game strongly, with DeMar DeRozan, Nikola Jokic, and Jamal Murray combining to give the Nuggets a 32-28 lead after the first quarter. DeRozan contributed 21 points, four rebounds, and two assists, including two three-pointers. Jokic tallied 19 points, seven rebounds, and 11 assists, while Murray also chipped in 19 points with six rebounds and eight assists. However, Golden State responded decisively in the second period, outscoring Denver 32-24 to take a 60-56 advantage into halftime, primarily fueled by Curry's flawless offensive display and Lendeborg's all-around contribution.

The Warriors continued to build on their momentum in the third quarter, extending their lead significantly by posting a 40-28 advantage in the frame, pushing the score to 100-84. Their offensive surge, highlighted by Lendeborg's diverse scoring and playmaking, proved too much for the Nuggets to overcome. Golden State then closed out the game by winning the final quarter 34-30, maintaining control to secure a comfortable 20-point victory.

#WarriorsNuggets #NBA #GoldenState #YaxelLendeborg #StephenCurry

How the Prediction Fared

⚑ Model Missed

SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the Denver Nuggets (65% confidence). It gave a 13% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 20 points.

Standouts

Top Scorer Β· GSW
Yaxel Lendeborg
31 PTS, 12 REB, 6 AST, 1 3PM Β· 9-19 FG
Scoring Β· GSW
Stephen Curry
24 PTS, 3 REB, 3 AST, 3 3PM Β· 8-8 FG
Scoring Β· DEN
DeMar DeRozan
21 PTS, 4 REB, 2 AST, 2 3PM Β· 7-15 FG

Full box score, every player's line and the play-by-play are available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

Linescore

1234 T
GSW 28324034 134
DEN 32242830 114

πŸ” Key Suspects Results

5 of 8 graded picks hit. Pushes and voided picks are not counted.

GSW — Away
De'Anthony Melton G Threes 1.5 UNDER HIT Actual 1
Brandin Podziemski G Points 15 HIT Actual 18
DEN — Home
Christian Braun G Points 10 MISS Actual 9
Jamal Murray G Points 20 HIT Actual 19
Nikola Jokic C Threes 1.5 UNDER HIT Actual 1
Trevon Brazile F Points 9.5 UNDER HIT Actual 6
DeMar DeRozan G Assists 2.5 OVER MISS Actual 2
Aaron Gordon F Threes 1.5 OVER MISS Actual 0

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