NBA Final Intelligence

HOU 5-0
111 – 116
FINAL
DAL 3-2

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks β€” Recap

October 30, 2026  Β· View Preview

πŸ“°Game Recap

The Dallas Mavericks surged in the fourth quarter to defeat the Houston Rockets 116-111, overcoming a mid-game deficit built by Houston's strong second and third periods. Despite the SportsFBI model favoring Houston with a 66% probability of winning, the Mavericks' late-game execution proved decisive.

Dallas established an early lead, outscoring Houston 27-20 in the opening quarter. However, the Rockets responded emphatically in the second, putting up 31 points while holding the Mavericks to just 17, swinging the momentum and taking a halftime lead. Kevin Durant was a key factor in Houston's resurgence, contributing 28 points and 5 rebounds overall.

Houston maintained a narrow advantage through the third quarter, adding 33 points to Dallas' 32, which kept the game close heading into the final frame. The Mavericks, however, unleashed a dominant 40-point fourth quarter, spearheaded by the prolific scoring of Kyrie Irving and Cooper Flagg. Irving, who finished with 35 points, 4 rebounds, 9 assists, and five three-pointers on 12-of-19 shooting, along with Flagg's 33 points, 9 rebounds, and 6 assists on 13-of-19 shooting, proved too much for the Rockets to contain down the stretch. Daniel Gafford also contributed significantly for Dallas with 18 points on efficient 6-of-7 shooting, while Jabari Smith Jr. added 22 points for the Rockets.

#DallasMavericks #HoustonRockets #KyrieIrving #CooperFlagg #NBA

How the Prediction Fared

⚑ Model Missed

SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the Houston Rockets (66% confidence). It gave a 14% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 5 points.

Standouts

Top Scorer Β· DAL
Kyrie Irving
35 PTS, 4 REB, 9 AST, 5 3PM Β· 12-19 FG
Scoring Β· DAL
Cooper Flagg
33 PTS, 9 REB, 6 AST Β· 13-19 FG
Scoring Β· HOU
Kevin Durant
28 PTS, 5 REB, 1 AST, 1 3PM Β· 9-20 FG

Full box score, every player's line and the play-by-play are available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

Linescore

1234 T
HOU 20313327 111
DAL 27173240 116

πŸ” Key Suspects Results

4 of 7 graded picks hit. Pushes and voided picks are not counted.

HOU — Away
Kevin Durant F Points 23.5 OVER HIT Actual 28
Jabari Smith Jr. F Pts+Reb 22.5 OVER HIT Actual 25
Amen Thompson G-F Pts+Reb+Ast 32.5 UNDER HIT Actual 24
DAL — Home
Zaccharie Risacher F Threes 1.5 UNDER MISS Actual 3
Max Christie G Threes 1.5 OVER MISS Actual 0
Naji Marshall F Rebounds 3.5 UNDER VOID
Cooper Flagg F Pts+Reb+Ast 36.5 UNDER MISS Actual 48
P.J. Washington F Rebounds 6 HIT Actual 10

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