NBA Final Intelligence

MEM 6-3
118 – 102
FINAL
TOR 5-4

Memphis Grizzlies 118, Toronto Raptors 102 — Recap

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📰Game Recap

The Memphis Grizzlies defeated the Toronto Raptors 118-102, overcoming a 26-25 deficit after the first quarter where Toronto edged ahead. Memphis seized control in the second quarter by outscoring Toronto 34-27 to take a halftime lead, and continued to pull away by winning the third period 30-28 and the fourth 29-21. Ty Jerome led the charge for Memphis with 27 points, including five three-pointers on 9-of-19 shooting, alongside six rebounds and two assists, while Cameron Boozer added 22 points, eight rebounds, and eight assists on 9-of-17 shooting.

Toronto fought back through Jamal Shead, who recorded 20 points, 11 assists, and four threes, and RJ Barrett, who contributed 19 points, three rebounds, and two assists. Jakob Poeltl added efficient scoring inside with 18 points and eight rebounds on 9-of-12 shooting, but the Raptors could not sustain their initial first-quarter momentum against Memphis's steady offensive pressure over the final three periods. The pregame SportsFBI model favored Toronto at 50%, a lean that ultimately missed as the Grizzlies secured the 16-point victory.

#MemphisGrizzlies #TorontoRaptors #NBA

How the Prediction Fared

⚡ Model Missed

SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the Toronto Raptors (50% confidence). It gave a 11% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 16 points.

💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Spread · MEM -1.5 MEM covered Won by 16
Total · 225.5 Under 220 combined
Moneyline MEM -124 · TOR +106 MEM favored
Line movementOpening line → close
Spread (TOR) -3.5+1.5 +5
Total 229.5225.5 -4
Moneyline (TOR) -148+106 +254

Standouts

Top Scorer · MEM
27 PTS, 6 REB, 2 AST, 5 3PM · 9-19 FG
Scoring · MEM
22 PTS, 8 REB, 8 AST · 9-17 FG
Scoring · TOR
20 PTS, 2 REB, 11 AST, 4 3PM · 6-17 FG
Season highs
Jamal Shead · Season-high 20 pointsJamison Battle · Season-high 5 threesJamal Shead · Season-high 4 threes

Every player's line is in the box score below; the play-by-play is available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

📊 Game Flow

MEM 16 largest lead Q3 8:19 (MEM 71, TOR 55) · 12-0 run, Q3 10:18–Q3 8:19
TOR 6 largest lead Q1 9:35 (MEM 0, TOR 6) · 7-0 run, Q1 3:37–Q1 2:51
Swings 13 lead changes Tied 7 times

Ahead for good: Cameron Boozer makes 5-foot driving floating jump shot (Q2 5:52, MEM 42, TOR 41).

Linescore

1234 T
MEM 25343029 118
TOR 26272821 102

🧮 How They Scored

MEMTOR
Four factorsHighlighted side won the factor
62.5%Effective FG%50.6%
16.1%Turnover %11.8%
40.6%Offensive rebound %31.9%
0.237Free-throw rate0.189

Box Score

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFT+/-
Cameron Boozer F 3322881069-170-54-5+17
Ty Jerome G 3227620039-195-114-4+14
Cedric Coward G 283642101-61-40-0+19
Jaylen Wells F 2614410005-84-50-0+21
Javon Small G 249250003-51-22-2-2
Zach Edey C 238910132-30-04-4+11
Jerami Grant F 2217321106-93-32-20
GG Jackson F 172100100-30-12-2-6
Cam Spencer G 177242033-51-20-0+3
Taylor Hendricks F 169301124-51-10-0+4
Quinten Post C 20100000-00-00-0-1
Olivier-Maxence Prosper F 10000000-00-00-00
Kris Murray F 10000000-00-00-00

Toronto Raptors

Player MINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFT+/-
Jamal Shead G 36202112036-174-104-4-14
RJ Barrett F-G 3619320117-211-64-9-23
Ja'Kobe Walter G 3412600114-132-72-2-21
Jakob Poeltl C 3118821439-120-00-0-15
Jamison Battle F 2918120016-125-111-2-3
Alijah Martin G 212331011-40-20-00
Kyle Anderson F 166220103-40-00-0-10
Trayce Jackson-Davis F 144612112-30-00-0+2
Allen Graves F 133211001-41-20-0+2
Jaden Bradley G 90130020-00-00-0+2
Malachi Smith G 10000000-00-00-00

🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines

PlayerPropLineActualResult
Ty Jerome MEM Points21.527 Over
Rebounds2.56 Over
Assists5.52 Under
3-pointers2.55 Over
Reb + Ast8.58 Under
Pts + Reb + Ast30.535 Over
Cameron Boozer MEM Points16.522 Over
Rebounds8.58 Under
Assists4.58 Over
3-pointers1.50 Under
Pts + Reb26.530 Over
Reb + Ast13.516 Over
Pts + Reb + Ast31.538 Over
Jamal Shead TOR Points11.520 Over
Rebounds2.52 Under
Assists9.511 Over
3-pointers1.54 Over
Pts + Reb14.522 Over
Pts + Reb + Ast23.533 Over
RJ Barrett TOR Points25.519 Under
Rebounds6.53 Under
Assists4.52 Under
3-pointers2.51 Under
Reb + Ast11.55 Under
Pts + Reb + Ast37.524 Under
Jakob Poeltl TOR Points11.518 Over
Rebounds8.58 Under
Assists2.52 Under
Pts + Reb20.526 Over
Reb + Ast10.510 Under
Pts + Reb + Ast22.528 Over
Jerami Grant MEM Points10.517 Over
Rebounds2.53 Over
3-pointers1.53 Over

The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.

⚔️ Season Series & What's Next

2026-27 season series MEM 1 – 0 TOR
Last 13 meetings · since 2020-21 MEM 7 – 6 TOR
Previous meetingsOpen the recap
After this game
Memphis Grizzlies 7-3 W1 L10 7-3 Next game: vs DEN · Wed, Nov 11
Toronto Raptors 5-5 L1 L10 5-5 Next game: vs BOS · Wed, Nov 11

🔍 Key Suspects Results

3 of 4 graded picks hit. Pushes and voided picks are not counted.

MEM — Away
Zach Edey Zach Edey C Rebounds 7.5 OVER HIT Actual 9
Jaylen Wells Jaylen Wells F Points 10 HIT Actual 14
TOR — Home
Ja'Kobe Walter G Assists 2.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Jamal Shead Jamal Shead G Threes 1.5 UNDER MISS Actual 4

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