Celtics 109, Bucks 102 — NBA Recap

📰Game Recap

The Boston Celtics secured a 109-102 victory over the Milwaukee Bucks, fueled by a dominant first half that built an insurmountable advantage. Paul George led Boston with 25 points, adding 3 rebounds, 5 assists, and 5 threes on 8-of-18 shooting, while Derrick White contributed 24 points, 4 rebounds, and 7 assists. Boston seized control immediately in the opening quarter by outscoring Milwaukee 28-14. The Celtics extended their command before halftime by winning the second quarter 34-27, carrying a 62-41 lead into the intermission.

Milwaukee mounted a fierce comeback in the third quarter, exploding for 38 points while holding Boston to 25 to narrow the deficit heading into the final frame. Tyler Herro paced the Bucks with a game-high-matching 25 points along with 5 rebounds, 3 assists, and 4 threes on 8-of-17 shooting. Jaime Jaquez Jr. added 18 points and 4 threes, and Ryan Rollins chipped in 13 points, 9 rebounds, and 5 assists.

The Bucks continued their push in the fourth quarter, edging the Celtics 23-22 in the period. However, Boston's early cushion proved sufficient to withstand the surge and close out the 109-102 win, validating the SportsFBI pregame model's 84% lean toward the Celtics.

#Celtics #Bucks #NBA #Basketball

How the Prediction Fared

✓ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the Boston Celtics (84% confidence). It gave a 27% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 7 points.

💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Spread · BOS -12.5 MIL covered Won by 7

Total · 222.5 Under 211 combined

Moneyline MIL +450 · BOS -600 BOS favored

Line movementOpening line → close

Spread (BOS) -11.5-12.5 -1

Total 223.5222.5 -1

Moneyline (BOS) -520-600 -80

Standouts

Top Scorer · MIL

Tyler Herro

25 PTS, 5 REB, 3 AST, 4 3PM · 8-17 FG

Scoring · BOS

Paul George

25 PTS, 3 REB, 5 AST, 5 3PM · 8-18 FG

Scoring · BOS

Derrick White

24 PTS, 4 REB, 7 AST, 1 3PM · 7-18 FG

Season highs

Derrick White · Season-high 24 pointsNeemias Queta · Season-high 12 reboundsBaylor Scheierman · Season-high 11 reboundsMitchell Robinson · Season-high 10 reboundsMyles Turner · Season-high 4 threesJaime Jaquez Jr. · Season-high 4 threes

Every player's line is in the box score below; the play-by-play is available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

📊 Game Flow

MIL 1 largest lead Q4 6:50 (MIL 92, BOS 91) · 8-0 run, Q3 4:20–Q3 2:21

BOS 22 largest lead Q2 3:56 (MIL 29, BOS 51) · 15-0 run, Q1 6:49–Q1 2:36

Swings 4 lead changes Tied 4 times

Ahead for good: Neemias Queta makes 2-foot layup (Paul George assists) (Q4 3:06, MIL 97, BOS 99).

Clutch timeEvery score of the final five minutes

Q4 4:54 Paul George makes free throw 2 of 2BOS · MIL 96, BOS 97
Q4 4:04 Kyle Kuzma makes free throw 2 of 2MIL · MIL 97, BOS 97
Q4 3:06 Neemias Queta makes 2-foot layup (Paul George assists)BOS · MIL 97, BOS 99
Q4 2:22 Derrick White makes 1-foot layup (Baylor Scheierman assists)BOS · MIL 97, BOS 101
Q4 2:22 Derrick White makes free throw 1 of 1BOS · MIL 97, BOS 102
Q4 1:49 Derrick White makes 5-foot driving floating jump shot (Neemias Queta assists)BOS · MIL 97, BOS 104
Q4 1:40 Tyler Herro makes free throw 1 of 2MIL · MIL 98, BOS 104
Q4 1:40 Tyler Herro makes free throw 2 of 2MIL · MIL 99, BOS 104
Q4 1:23 Paul George makes 26-foot three point step back jumpshotBOS · MIL 99, BOS 107
Q4 1:14 Ryan Rollins makes 26-foot three point step back jumpshotMIL · MIL 102, BOS 107
Q4 0:19 Derrick White makes free throw 1 of 2BOS · MIL 102, BOS 108
Q4 0:19 Derrick White makes free throw 2 of 2BOS · MIL 102, BOS 109

Linescore

	1	2	3	4		T
MIL	14	27	38	23		102
BOS	28	34	25	22		109

🧮 How They Scored

MILBOS

Four factorsHighlighted side won the factor

52.4%Effective FG%49.5%

13.0%Turnover %10.5%

23.9%Offensive rebound %35.8%

0.224Free-throw rate0.275

Box Score

Milwaukee Bucks

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
Myles Turner C-F	36	12	9	6	2	2	1	4-6	4-6	0-0	-1
Tyler Herro G	33	25	5	3	0	0	1	8-17	4-10	5-5	-8
Jaime Jaquez Jr. G	31	18	2	2	1	0	1	7-16	4-6	0-2	-3
Kyle Kuzma F	27	6	5	4	1	0	3	2-5	1-3	1-2	-8
Ryan Rollins G	24	13	9	5	1	1	4	5-10	2-3	1-2	+3
Brayden Burries G	22	9	5	3	1	0	3	3-7	0-3	3-4	+5
A.J. Green G	20	5	2	3	0	0	0	1-5	1-4	2-2	-4
Nate Ament F	18	9	2	0	0	0	0	3-9	2-6	1-2	+5
Kel'el Ware C	16	2	5	1	0	1	1	1-6	0-2	0-0	-6
Kasparas Jakučionis G	12	3	1	1	0	0	0	1-2	1-2	0-0	-15
Ousmane Dieng F	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-2	0-2	0-0	-2
Jericho Sims F	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-1

Boston Celtics

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
Derrick White G	36	24	4	7	1	2	2	7-18	1-7	9-9	+8
Paul George F	35	25	3	5	4	0	6	8-18	5-9	4-7	+1
Sam Hauser F	30	11	2	0	0	0	0	4-11	3-10	0-0	-6
Neemias Queta C	29	9	12	3	0	2	0	4-8	0-0	1-3	+1
Baylor Scheierman G	29	9	11	1	1	0	1	3-7	3-4	0-0	+11
Mitchell Robinson C	20	3	10	1	1	1	1	1-8	0-0	1-2	+5
Payton Pritchard G	18	10	1	5	0	0	0	4-7	0-0	2-2	+7
Luka Garza C	18	11	5	2	1	0	1	4-7	3-4	0-0	+3
Hugo González G	14	4	2	0	0	1	1	1-3	0-2	2-2	+9
Jordan Walsh G	12	3	4	0	0	0	0	1-4	1-3	0-0	-4

🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines

Player	Prop	Line	Actual	Result
Paul George BOS	Points	21.5	25	Over
	Rebounds	5.5	3	Under
	Assists	4.5	5	Over
	3-pointers	3.5	5	Over
	Pts + Reb	26.5	28	Over
	Reb + Ast	10.5	8	Under
	Pts + Reb + Ast	32.5	33	Over
Tyler Herro MIL	Points	19.5	25	Over
	Rebounds	4.5	5	Over
	Assists	3.5	3	Under
	3-pointers	2.5	4	Over
	Pts + Reb	24.5	30	Over
	Reb + Ast	8.5	8	Under
	Pts + Reb + Ast	28.5	33	Over
Derrick White BOS	Points	16.5	24	Over
	Rebounds	3.5	4	Over
	Assists	6.5	7	Over
	3-pointers	2.5	1	Under
	Pts + Reb	20.5	28	Over
	Pts + Reb + Ast	26.5	35	Over
Jaime Jaquez Jr. MIL	Points	13.5	18	Over
	Rebounds	5.5	2	Under
	Assists	2.5	2	Under
	Reb + Ast	8.5	4	Under
	Pts + Reb + Ast	22.5	22	Under
Ryan Rollins MIL	Points	10.5	13	Over
	Assists	3.5	5	Over
	3-pointers	1.5	2	Over
	Pts + Reb	13.5	22	Over
	Reb + Ast	6.5	14	Over
	Pts + Reb + Ast	16.5	27	Over
Myles Turner MIL	Points	9.5	12	Over
	Rebounds	4.5	9	Over
	3-pointers	1.5	4	Over