NBA Final Intelligence

MIL 1-3
128 – 127
FINAL
IND 1-2

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers β€” Recap

October 16, 2026  Β· View Preview

πŸ“°Game Recap

The Milwaukee Bucks secured a narrow 128-127 overtime victory over the Indiana Pacers in a preseason matchup marked by significant swings. Indiana established an early advantage, outpacing Milwaukee 29-21 in the first quarter and extending their lead with a 42-35 second quarter. Pascal Siakam led the Pacers' offensive efforts, contributing 24 points and five three-pointers on 8-of-10 shooting, alongside Tyrese Haliburton's 17 points and six assists, as Indiana went into halftime with a substantial lead. SportsFBI's pregame model had leaned toward an Indiana win at 72%.

The Bucks mounted a comeback in the second half, fueled by strong offensive performances. Milwaukee outscored Indiana 34-22 in the third quarter, beginning to chip away at the deficit. Tyler Herro was instrumental for the Bucks, finishing with a game-high 25 points, including five three-pointers on 10-of-16 shooting, while adding three rebounds and three assists. Brayden Burries also contributed 14 points and seven rebounds on 6-of-11 shooting for Milwaukee.

The Bucks continued their surge in the fourth quarter, outscoring the Pacers 27-24 to force overtime. In the extra period, Milwaukee maintained their momentum, securing an 11-10 advantage to close out the one-point victory. Despite Kobe Brown's 14 points for Indiana, his 4-of-14 shooting performance reflected some of the Pacers' late-game struggles as they surrendered their early lead.

#MilwaukeeBucks #IndianaPacers #NBA #Preseason #Overtime

How the Prediction Fared

⚑ Model Missed

SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the Indiana Pacers (72% confidence). It gave a 21% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 1 point.

Standouts

Top Scorer Β· MIL
Tyler Herro
25 PTS, 3 REB, 3 AST, 5 3PM Β· 10-16 FG
Scoring Β· IND
Pascal Siakam
24 PTS, 4 REB, 3 AST, 5 3PM Β· 8-10 FG
Scoring Β· IND
Tyrese Haliburton
17 PTS, 3 REB, 6 AST, 3 3PM Β· 7-14 FG

Full box score, every player's line and the play-by-play are available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

Linescore

1234OT T
MIL 2135342711 128
IND 2942222410 127

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