NBA Final Intelligence
Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs β Recap
October 16, 2026 Β· View Preview
Game Recap
The San Antonio Spurs established an early commanding lead over the Sacramento Kings in their preseason matchup, fueled by strong offensive execution. The Spurs opened with a dominant 42-18 first quarter and extended their advantage in the second, outscoring the Kings 29-19. This early surge saw Dylan Harper lead San Antonio with 19 points, including three successful three-pointers, complemented by De'Aaron Fox's 16 points and Keldon Johnson's 15 points, demonstrating a balanced attack that put Sacramento at a significant deficit.
Sacramento managed to stem the bleeding in the second half. The Kings found more rhythm in the third quarter, outscoring the Spurs 35-30, primarily thanks to Zach LaVine's 20-point performance, which included a three-pointer. Domantas Sabonis contributed a double-double with 14 points and 10 rebounds for Sacramento. Both teams played to an even 25-25 fourth quarter, but the Kings' second-half efforts were not enough to overcome the substantial gap created by San Antonio's initial onslaught.
The significant early lead built by San Antonio proved insurmountable for Sacramento, as the Spurs maintained control despite the Kings' improved play in the latter half. San Antonio's efficient offensive production, particularly from Harper, Fox, and Johnson, set the tone for the game. SportsFBI's pregame model had indicated a 72% probability for a San Antonio victory, accurately reflecting the game's ultimate outcome.
How the Prediction Fared
SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the San Antonio Spurs (72% confidence). It gave a 40% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 29 points.
Standouts
Full box score, every player's line and the play-by-play are available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.
Linescore
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAC | 18 | 19 | 35 | 25 | 97 | |
| SAS | 42 | 29 | 30 | 25 | 126 |
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