NBA Final Intelligence

99 – 107

FINAL

Milwaukee Bucks 99, Orlando Magic 107 — Recap

November 13, 2026 · Recap published November 13, 2026 · View Preview

📰Game Recap

The Orlando Magic defeated the Milwaukee Bucks 107-99, validating SportsFBI's pregame model that leaned toward Orlando at 70%. Franz Wagner led the charge for the Magic with 35 points, 9 rebounds, and 12 assists while shooting 13 of 22 from the floor, including three made three-pointers. Orlando established control early by winning the first quarter 23-15 and extended their advantage by taking the second quarter 29-22 to build a solid halftime cushion.

Milwaukee attempted a comeback in the second half, outscoring Orlando 35-32 in the third quarter and 27-23 in the final period, but the early deficit proved too steep to overcome. Jaime Jaquez Jr. paced the Bucks with 22 points, grabbing 6 rebounds, dishing 4 assists, and connecting on five three-pointers while shooting 8 of 15 overall. Myles Turner added a double-double for Milwaukee with 14 points and 11 rebounds, alongside 3 assists and four made threes on 5-of-9 shooting, while Tyler Herro contributed 18 points, 1 rebound, 2 assists, and two threes on 5-of-17 shooting.

Orlando secured the victory behind a stellar perimeter shooting performance from Desmond Bane, who matched Jaquez with 21 points built largely on six three-pointers while shooting 7 of 13 from the field and adding 5 rebounds and 3 assists. Despite Milwaukee's second-half scoring efforts, the early separation created in the opening two quarters allowed the Magic to maintain their lead until the final buzzer.

#OrlandoMagic #MilwaukeeBucks #FranzWagner #NBA

How the Prediction Fared

✓ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the Orlando Magic (70% confidence). It gave a 16% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 8 points.

💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Spread · ORL -9.5 MIL covered Won by 8

Total · 223.5 Under 206 combined

Moneyline MIL +330 · ORL -420 ORL favored

Line movementOpening line → close

Spread (ORL) -8.5-9.5 -1

Total 222.5223.5 +1

Moneyline (ORL) -390-420 -30

Standouts

Top Scorer · ORL

Franz Wagner

35 PTS, 9 REB, 12 AST, 3 3PM · 13-22 FG

Scoring · MIL

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

22 PTS, 6 REB, 4 AST, 5 3PM · 8-15 FG

Scoring · ORL

Desmond Bane

21 PTS, 5 REB, 3 AST, 6 3PM · 7-13 FG

Season highs

Myles Turner · Season-high 11 reboundsRyan Rollins · Season-high 10 reboundsJaime Jaquez Jr. · Season-high 5 threes

Every player's line is in the box score below; the play-by-play is available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

📊 Game Flow

MIL 1 largest lead Q1 9:47 (MIL 3, ORL 2) · 10-0 run, Q2 8:02–Q2 5:57

ORL 20 largest lead Q3 9:01 (MIL 45, ORL 65) · 9-0 run, Q2 10:59–Q2 9:14

Swings 2 lead changes Tied 0 times

Ahead for good: Desmond Bane makes 16-foot step back jumpshot (Franz Wagner assists) (Q1 9:27, MIL 3, ORL 4).

Linescore

	1	2	3	4		T
MIL	15	22	35	27		99
ORL	23	29	32	23		107

🧮 How They Scored

MILORL

Four factorsHighlighted side won the factor

49.4%Effective FG%53.4%

13.6%Turnover %12.2%

25.5%Offensive rebound %17.9%

0.378Free-throw rate0.161

Box Score

Milwaukee Bucks

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
Tyler Herro G	34	18	1	2	2	1	1	5-17	2-7	6-7	-1
Myles Turner C-F	31	14	11	3	2	0	4	5-9	4-7	0-0	-3
Kyle Kuzma F	31	14	4	2	2	1	3	3-9	1-5	7-15	-2
Ryan Rollins G	29	8	10	2	1	0	3	3-8	0-4	2-2	-4
Jaime Jaquez Jr. G	28	22	6	4	0	0	2	8-15	5-7	1-3	-3
Nate Ament F	22	9	3	1	2	0	0	3-8	2-5	1-1	-1
Brayden Burries G	19	3	4	3	0	0	0	1-4	1-2	0-0	-4
Kel'el Ware C	17	10	6	1	1	1	1	4-6	2-3	0-0	-5
Gary Trent Jr. G	16	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-4	0-2	1-3	-8
A.J. Green G	8	0	0	2	0	0	0	0-1	0-1	0-0	-1
Ousmane Dieng F	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-1	0-1	0-0	-8

Orlando Magic

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
Anthony Black G	37	5	2	5	1	2	5	1-9	1-6	2-2	0
Franz Wagner F	36	35	9	12	1	1	3	13-22	3-8	6-6	+34
Desmond Bane G	35	21	5	3	2	0	0	7-13	6-10	1-1	0
Tristan Da Silva F	31	12	6	2	0	0	1	4-11	2-8	2-2	+21
Wendell Carter Jr. F	30	12	8	0	1	1	2	5-9	1-4	1-1	-11
Jalen Suggs G	21	3	2	3	0	0	1	1-8	1-6	0-0	-8
Goga Bitadze C	18	12	4	1	1	1	1	5-5	0-0	2-2	+19
Jevon Carter G	17	5	2	2	1	1	0	2-5	1-4	0-0	-14
Nikola Vucevic C	11	2	3	0	0	0	0	1-4	0-3	0-0	-7
Jamal Cain F	4	0	4	1	0	0	0	0-1	0-1	0-0	+6

🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines

Player	Prop	Line	Actual	Result
Franz Wagner ORL	Points	24.5	35	Over
	Rebounds	6.5	9	Over
	Assists	6.5	12	Over
	3-pointers	1.5	3	Over
	Pts + Reb	30.5	44	Over
	Pts + Reb + Ast	37.5	56	Over
Jaime Jaquez Jr. MIL	Points	13.5	22	Over
	Rebounds	4.5	6	Over
	Assists	3.5	4	Over
	3-pointers	1.5	5	Over
	Pts + Reb + Ast	21.5	32	Over
Desmond Bane ORL	Points	19.5	21	Over
	Rebounds	4.5	5	Over
	Assists	2.5	3	Over
	3-pointers	3.5	6	Over
	Reb + Ast	7.5	8	Over
	Pts + Reb + Ast	27.5	29	Over
Tyler Herro MIL	Points	21.5	18	Under
	Rebounds	4.5	1	Under
	Assists	4.5	2	Under
	3-pointers	2.5	2	Under
	Reb + Ast	8.5	3	Under
	Pts + Reb + Ast	30.5	21	Under
Kyle Kuzma MIL	Points	10.5	14	Over
	Rebounds	4.5	4	Under
	Assists	2.5	2	Under
	3-pointers	1.5	1	Under
	Pts + Reb	14.5	18	Over
	Reb + Ast	6.5	6	Under
Myles Turner MIL	Points	9.5	14	Over
	Rebounds	5.5	11	Over
	Assists	1.5	3	Over
	3-pointers	1.5	4	Over
	Pts + Reb + Ast	16.5	28	Over

The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.

⚔️ Season Series & What's Next

2026-27 season series MIL 0 – 1 ORL

Last 22 meetings · since 2020-21 MIL 16 – 6 ORL

Previous meetingsOpen the recap

After this game

Milwaukee Bucks 1-12 L9 L10 1-9 Next game: vs ATL · Sun, Nov 15

Orlando Magic 5-7 W3 L10 5-5 Next game: @ BOS · Mon, Nov 16

🔍 Key Suspects Results

4 of 6 graded picks hit. Pushes and voided picks are not counted.

MIL — Away

Brayden Burries G Points 11.5 UNDER HIT Actual 3

Jaime Jaquez Jr. G Assists 3.5 UNDER MISS Actual 4

Tyler Herro G Pts+Reb+Ast 30.5 UNDER HIT Actual 21

Ryan Rollins G Reb+Ast 6.5 OVER HIT Actual 12

Kel'el Ware C Rebounds 4.5 OVER HIT Actual 6

ORL — Home

Jamal Cain F Points 6.5 OVER MISS Actual 0

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