Warriors 126, Magic 119 (OT) — NBA Recap

📰Game Recap

The Golden State Warriors secured a 126-119 overtime victory against the Orlando Magic, driven by a dominant opening half. Stephen Curry led all scorers with 41 points, six rebounds, six assists, and five three-pointers on 13-of-19 shooting, while Yaxel Lendeborg added 23 points, eight rebounds, and three assists. Golden State seized control early by outscoring Orlando 31-19 in the first quarter and added a 26-22 edge in the second to build a commanding halftime lead.

Orlando mounted a furious second-half comeback, dominated by Franz Wagner and Wendell Carter Jr. Wagner finished with 30 points, 11 assists, and six rebounds, shooting 11-of-22 with three triples. Carter contributed a double-double of 19 points and 11 rebounds, and Tristan Da Silva matched him with 19 points alongside seven rebounds and five three-pointers. The Magic erupted for 37 points in the third quarter while holding the Warriors to 20, completely erasing the deficit before matching Golden State with 32 points in the fourth to force overtime.

In the extra period, Golden State regained the upper hand with a 16-9 scoring advantage to seal the game. SportsFBI's pregame model gave the Warriors a 66% probability of winning, a projection that ultimately proved correct. Golden State's collective execution in overtime closed out the contest after regulation ended in a stalemate.

#Warriors #Magic #NBA #Basketball

How the Prediction Fared

✓ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the Golden State Warriors (66% confidence). It gave a 14% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 7 points.

💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Spread · GSW -7.5 ORL covered Won by 7

Total · 220.5 Over 245 combined

Moneyline ORL +250 · GSW -310 GSW favored

Line movementOpening line → close

Spread (GSW) -6.5-7.5 -1

Total 219.5220.5 +1

Moneyline (GSW) -215-310 -95

Standouts

Top Scorer · GSW

Stephen Curry

41 PTS, 6 REB, 6 AST, 5 3PM · 13-19 FG

Scoring · ORL

Franz Wagner

30 PTS, 6 REB, 11 AST, 3 3PM · 11-22 FG

Scoring · GSW

Yaxel Lendeborg

23 PTS, 8 REB, 3 AST, 2 3PM · 9-15 FG

Season highs

Franz Wagner · Season-high 30 pointsDraymond Green · Season-high 13 assistsJamal Cain · Season-high 12 rebounds

Every player's line is in the box score below; the play-by-play is available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

📊 Game Flow

ORL 6 largest lead Q4 11:23 (ORL 83, GSW 77) · 11-0 run, Q3 5:40–Q3 3:23

GSW 16 largest lead Q2 0:02 (ORL 41, GSW 57) · 10-0 run, Q1 7:55–Q1 4:14

Swings 10 lead changes Tied 14 times

Ahead for good: Stephen Curry makes 8-foot two point shot (OT 1:38, ORL 118, GSW 119).

Clutch timeEvery score of the final five minutes

OT 3:48 Wendell Carter Jr. makes free throw 1 of 2ORL · ORL 111, GSW 114
OT 3:48 Wendell Carter Jr. makes free throw 2 of 2ORL · ORL 112, GSW 114
OT 3:26 Yaxel Lendeborg makes 26-foot three pointer (Draymond Green assists)GSW · ORL 112, GSW 117
OT 3:06 Wendell Carter Jr. makes 24-foot three point jumper (Anthony Black assists)ORL · ORL 115, GSW 117
OT 2:24 Tristan da Silva makes 24-foot three point jumper (Franz Wagner assists)ORL · ORL 118, GSW 117
OT 1:38 Stephen Curry makes 8-foot two point shotGSW · ORL 118, GSW 119
OT 1:38 Stephen Curry makes free throw 1 of 1GSW · ORL 118, GSW 120
OT 0:54 Stephen Curry makes 8-foot two point shotGSW · ORL 118, GSW 122
OT 0:18 Wendell Carter Jr. makes free throw 2 of 2ORL · ORL 119, GSW 122
OT 0:11 Yaxel Lendeborg makes 2-foot dunk (Georges Niang assists)GSW · ORL 119, GSW 124
OT 0:08 Yaxel Lendeborg makes free throw 1 of 2GSW · ORL 119, GSW 125
OT 0:08 Yaxel Lendeborg makes free throw 2 of 2GSW · ORL 119, GSW 126

Linescore

	1	2	3	4	OT		T
ORL	19	22	37	32	9		119
GSW	31	26	20	33	16		126

🧮 How They Scored

ORLGSW

Four factorsHighlighted side won the factor

46.0%Effective FG%63.1%

10.3%Turnover %16.1%

38.1%Offensive rebound %8.3%

0.186Free-throw rate0.388

Box Score

Orlando Magic

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
Franz Wagner F	40	30	6	11	2	0	6	11-22	3-7	5-5	-2
Wendell Carter Jr. F	40	19	11	0	0	2	2	6-12	3-3	4-9	-9
Tristan Da Silva F	39	19	7	2	1	0	1	7-21	5-16	0-0	-9
Anthony Black G	38	18	8	6	4	3	2	7-19	2-6	2-3	-7
Jamal Cain F	36	18	12	1	1	1	2	6-14	2-8	4-4	-15
Jase Richardson G	30	2	4	4	0	0	1	1-13	0-6	0-0	+5
Jevon Carter G	15	9	1	0	1	0	0	3-7	3-7	0-0	-8
Alex Morales G	15	0	2	1	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	+8
Goga Bitadze C	7	4	5	2	0	0	0	2-3	0-0	0-0	+7
Nikola Vucevic C	6	0	1	2	0	0	0	0-2	0-1	0-0	-5

Golden State Warriors

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
Brandin Podziemski G	39	15	7	1	2	1	0	5-7	4-5	1-2	+6
Yaxel Lendeborg F	37	23	8	3	0	3	6	9-15	2-4	3-4	+6
Stephen Curry G	36	41	6	6	0	0	3	13-19	5-10	10-10	+11
Draymond Green F	34	2	6	13	2	2	4	1-5	0-1	0-2	+11
Georges Niang F	25	11	2	1	1	0	0	4-6	3-3	0-0	+13
Brandon Williams G	17	9	0	2	2	0	2	3-7	0-2	3-3	-2
De'Anthony Melton G	17	4	1	1	0	1	0	1-5	1-3	1-2	+1
Al Horford C-F	13	2	5	4	0	2	0	1-4	0-2	0-0	-5
Gary Payton II G	13	4	0	0	2	0	1	2-5	0-1	0-0	0
Will Richard G	12	4	2	1	0	0	0	1-1	0-0	2-2	+1
Gui Santos F	12	3	1	0	1	0	2	1-2	0-1	1-2	-4
Charles Bassey G	11	8	4	0	0	1	0	2-4	0-0	4-4	-3

🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines

Player	Prop	Line	Actual	Result
Stephen Curry GSW	Points	25.5	41	Over
	Rebounds	3.5	6	Over
	Assists	4.5	6	Over
	3-pointers	4.5	5	Over
	Reb + Ast	8.5	12	Over
	Pts + Reb + Ast	34.5	53	Over
Franz Wagner ORL	Points	24.5	30	Over
	Rebounds	6.5	6	Under
	Assists	7.5	11	Over
	3-pointers	1.5	3	Over
	Pts + Reb	30.5	36	Over
	Reb + Ast	13.5	17	Over
Yaxel Lendeborg GSW	Points	18.5	23	Over
	Rebounds	7.5	8	Over
	Assists	4.5	3	Under
	3-pointers	1.5	2	Over
	Pts + Reb + Ast	30.5	34	Over
Wendell Carter Jr. ORL	Points	12.5	19	Over
	Rebounds	9.5	11	Over
	Assists	1.5	0	Under
	Reb + Ast	10.5	11	Over
Tristan Da Silva ORL	Points	14.5	19	Over
	Rebounds	4.5	7	Over
	Assists	1.5	2	Over
	3-pointers	2.5	5	Over
Jamal Cain ORL	Points	8.5	18	Over