Toronto Raptors 121, Milwaukee Bucks 107 — Recap

November 6, 2026 · Recap published November 6, 2026 · View Preview

📰Game Recap

The Milwaukee Bucks built an early advantage through the opening two quarters, securing a 29-24 lead in the first period before edging the Toronto Raptors 31-27 in the second to carry a nine-point margin into halftime. Tyler Herro paced the Milwaukee offense with 23 points, 5 rebounds, and 10 assists, while Brayden Burries contributed a 21-point, 11-rebound double-double with 6 assists.

Toronto shifted the momentum decisively after the intermission, dominating the third quarter with a 38-27 scoring output to overtake the lead before outscoring Milwaukee 32-20 in the final period to seal the 121-107 victory. The second-half surge was fueled by RJ Barrett, who posted 27 points, 7 rebounds, and 5 assists, and Alijah Martin, who matched the team high with 27 points by connecting on 6 of 11 three-point attempts.

Jakob Poeltl added a 19-point, 11-rebound double-double for Toronto, anchoring the interior as the Raptors pulled away down the stretch. The outcome validated the pregame analytics model from SportsFBI, which had established a probabilistic lean toward Toronto at 59%.

#Raptors #Bucks #NBA #Basketball

How the Prediction Fared

✓ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the Toronto Raptors (59% confidence). It gave a 12% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 14 points.

💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Spread · TOR -3.5 TOR covered Won by 14

Total · 228.5 Under 228 combined

Moneyline TOR -152 · MIL +128 TOR favored

Line movementOpening line → close

Spread (MIL) +8.5+3.5 -5

Moneyline (MIL) +270+128 -142

Standouts

Top Scorer · TOR

RJ Barrett

27 PTS, 7 REB, 5 AST · 9-22 FG

Scoring · TOR

Alijah Martin

27 PTS, 4 REB, 1 AST, 6 3PM · 9-11 FG

Scoring · MIL

Tyler Herro

23 PTS, 5 REB, 10 AST, 1 3PM · 7-16 FG

Season highs

RJ Barrett · Season-high 27 pointsAlijah Martin · Season-high 27 pointsBrayden Burries · Season-high 21 pointsJamal Shead · Season-high 16 assistsBrayden Burries · Season-high 11 reboundsTyler Herro · Season-high 10 assistsAlijah Martin · Season-high 6 threes

Every player's line is in the box score below; the play-by-play is available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

📊 Game Flow

TOR 15 largest lead Q4 0:35 (TOR 117, MIL 102) · 10-0 run, Q1 4:10–Q1 2:07

MIL 15 largest lead Q2 1:30 (TOR 43, MIL 58) · 10-0 run, Q1 9:07–Q1 6:19

Swings 3 lead changes Tied 1 time

Ahead for good: Allen Graves makes 2-foot layup (Jamal Shead assists) (Q3 2:19, TOR 81, MIL 79).

Clutch timeEvery score of the final five minutes

Q4 4:28 Jakob Poeltl makes two point shotTOR · TOR 105, MIL 99
Q4 4:09 RJ Barrett makes 10-foot two point shotTOR · TOR 107, MIL 99
Q4 3:36 Brayden Burries makes two point shotMIL · TOR 107, MIL 101
Q4 2:50 RJ Barrett makes driving layupTOR · TOR 109, MIL 101
Q4 1:53 Collin Murray-Boyles makes free throw 1 of 2TOR · TOR 110, MIL 101
Q4 1:53 Collin Murray-Boyles makes free throw 2 of 2TOR · TOR 111, MIL 101
Q4 1:20 Collin Murray-Boyles makes tip in dunkTOR · TOR 113, MIL 101
Q4 1:09 Tyler Herro makes free throw 2 of 2MIL · TOR 113, MIL 102
Q4 0:51 Jakob Poeltl makes tip shotTOR · TOR 115, MIL 102
Q4 0:35 RJ Barrett makes 1-foot shotTOR · TOR 117, MIL 102

Linescore

	1	2	3	4		T
TOR	24	27	38	32		121
MIL	29	31	27	20		107

🧮 How They Scored

TORMIL

Four factorsHighlighted side won the factor

51.6%Effective FG%52.4%

12.2%Turnover %17.7%

38.5%Offensive rebound %34.1%

0.330Free-throw rate0.305

Box Score

Toronto Raptors

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
RJ Barrett F-G	37	27	7	5	0	0	3	9-22	0-4	9-11	-2
Jamal Shead G	34	10	3	16	2	0	1	4-10	1-5	1-2	+23
Collin Murray-Boyles F	34	19	7	2	4	1	3	7-12	0-2	5-5	+17
Alijah Martin G	31	27	4	1	2	1	4	9-11	6-7	3-4	+22
Jakob Poeltl C	31	19	11	1	3	1	2	9-14	0-0	1-1	+6
Ja'Kobe Walter G	29	7	6	2	1	1	1	2-12	1-7	2-3	-12
Jamison Battle F	21	6	2	0	0	0	0	2-6	1-4	1-2	+2
Allen Graves F	16	3	2	0	0	0	0	1-5	0-3	1-1	+18
Jaden Bradley G	8	3	0	1	0	0	1	1-2	0-0	1-2	-4

Milwaukee Bucks

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
Brayden Burries G	38	21	11	6	0	1	1	8-14	1-5	4-6	-5
Tyler Herro G	35	23	5	10	1	0	3	7-16	1-5	8-10	0
Kyle Kuzma F	32	13	4	3	2	0	3	6-9	1-4	0-0	+3
Jaime Jaquez Jr. G	28	14	3	3	0	1	1	4-10	2-7	4-4	-6
A.J. Green G	24	12	2	0	0	1	2	4-9	4-8	0-0	-19
Myles Turner C-F	24	0	7	0	0	3	2	0-7	0-4	0-0	-4
Nate Ament F	15	7	1	0	0	1	1	3-5	0-1	1-1	-11
Ryan Rollins G	14	10	1	1	2	0	5	3-3	1-1	3-3	-12
Kel'el Ware C	13	4	3	0	0	1	1	2-7	0-4	0-0	0
Kasparas Jakučionis G	10	3	0	2	1	0	1	1-2	0-1	1-1	-9
Jericho Sims F	7	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-7