← Back to Game Preview
EVIDENCE
Market Support
+9
Cross-Vendor Consensus
+14
Confirmed Role
+14
Fantasy Market Conviction
+9
Opponent Position Matchup
+2
Game Script
+9
Prop Line vs Projection
+8
Hit Rate
+15
Recent Form
+12
Season Average vs. Line
+8
Consistency
+4
Recent Pass Attempt Volume
+8
Passing Yards per Attempt
+8
Offensive Sack Avoidance
+1
Completion Percentage over Expectation
+9
Red-zone Pass Attempts per Game
+2
Opponent Pass Yards per Attempt Allowed
+1
Opponent Explosive Pass Rate Allowed
+4
Score = 72
CONFIDENCE
NFL model weights are provisional -- see the workspace for the full factor breakdown and history.
See Every Key Suspect
Full Suspects list with evidence breakdowns and player prop edges for every NFL game — available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.