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Rushing Yards
30
75 · MILESTONE
EVIDENCE
Market Support
+8
Cross-Vendor Consensus
+6
Confirmed Role
+20
Fantasy Market Conviction
+14
Opponent Points Allowed
+3
Game Script
+4
Prop Line vs Projection
+8
Hit Rate
+18
Recent Form
+12
Season Average vs. Line
+10
Consistency
+5
Rush Attempt Share
+9
Recent Carry Volume
+5
Rush Yards over Expected per Attempt
+3
Red-zone Carry Share
+6
Goal-line Carry Share
+5
Opponent Rush Stuff Rate
+8
Score = 75
CONFIDENCE
NFL model weights are provisional -- see the workspace for the full factor breakdown and history.
See Every Key Suspect
Full Suspects list with evidence breakdowns and player prop edges for every NFL game — available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.