← Back to Game Preview
Passing TDs
1.5
73 · UNDER
EVIDENCE
Market Support
+12
Cross-Vendor Consensus
+9
Confirmed Role
+14
Fantasy Market Conviction
+9
Opponent Points Allowed
+3
Game Script
+5
Prop Line vs Projection
+8
Hit Rate
+18
Recent Form
+10
Season Average vs. Line
+8
Consistency
+5
Recent Pass Attempt Volume
+9
Passing Yards per Attempt
+5
Offensive Sack Avoidance
+3
Completion Percentage over Expectation
+9
Red-zone Pass Attempts per Game
+3
Opponent Pass Yards per Attempt Allowed
+4
Opponent Explosive Pass Rate Allowed
+5
Score = 73
CONFIDENCE
NFL model weights are provisional -- see the workspace for the full factor breakdown and history.
See Every Key Suspect
Full Suspects list with evidence breakdowns and player prop edges for every NFL game — available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.