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EVIDENCE
Market Support
+10
Cross-Vendor Consensus
+5
Confirmed Role
+14
Fantasy Market Conviction
+9
Opponent Position Matchup
+3
Game Script
+3
Prop Line vs Projection
+7
Hit Rate
+18
Recent Form
+9
Season Average vs. Line
+8
Consistency
+4
Recent Pass Attempt Volume
+8
Passing Yards per Attempt
+6
Offensive Sack Avoidance
+2
Completion Percentage over Expectation
+9
Opponent Pass Yards per Attempt Allowed
+5
Opponent Explosive Pass Rate Allowed
+8
Score = 69
CONFIDENCE
NFL model weights are provisional -- see the workspace for the full factor breakdown and history.
See Every Key Suspect
Full Suspects list with evidence breakdowns and player prop edges for every NFL game — available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.