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Passing Yards
173.5
73 · OVER
EVIDENCE
Market Support
+9
Cross-Vendor Consensus
+8
Confirmed Role
+14
Fantasy Market Conviction
+11
Opponent Position Matchup
+3
Game Script
+2
Prop Line vs Projection
+8
Hit Rate
+18
Recent Form
+12
Season Average vs. Line
+10
Consistency
+6
Recent Pass Attempt Volume
+5
Passing Yards per Attempt
+10
Offensive Sack Avoidance
+5
Completion Percentage over Expectation
+10
Opponent Pass Yards per Attempt Allowed
+4
Opponent Explosive Pass Rate Allowed
+2
Score = 73
CONFIDENCE
NFL model weights are provisional -- see the workspace for the full factor breakdown and history.
See Every Key Suspect
Full Suspects list with evidence breakdowns and player prop edges for every NFL game — available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.